What is the fair value of LITE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LITE to be between $721.59 and $888.39. The current price is $866.71.

What is the analyst price target for LITE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LITE is $1148.30. This implies a potential upside of 32.5% from current levels.

LITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LITE - Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock

COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC

$866.71

-12.57 (-1.43%) ▼

5d: -6.42%

30d: +3.97%

90d: -10.14%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your LITE Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 11, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $890.17 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 8.5/10

Get Alerted When LITE Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: LITE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -20.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$1607.21

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$997.95

13.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LITE is currently trading at $866.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $721.59 to $888.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.2) compared to its historical average (52.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LITE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $787.01, while resistance sits at $999.67.

Market Sentiment: LITE scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1148.30 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $721.59 - $888.39

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 42.9%

Protect Your Profits

Holding LITE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($1148.30)
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $721.59 - $888.39

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $787.01

Resistance Level $999.68

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.25

Wall Street Target $1148.30 (+32.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 109.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 71.1%

Profit Margin -230.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -20.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 26.3 vs 52.3 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -20.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $780.04 (-10%)

2-Year Target $702.04 (-19%)

3-Year Target $631.83 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→52) $1258.68 (+45%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 26.3, Growth: 52.7%) $2925.15 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 52.7%) $2236.19 (+158%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 52.7%) $1900.76 (+119%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.3 to 52.3

Stabilization Target: $1726.59 (+99.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +99.2%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is LITE showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30

Wajid Ali SELL 5302 shares 2026-02-27

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for LITE.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Communication Equipment Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Communication Equipment by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
CSCO Cisco Systems Inc	BUY 26 analysts	$136	52 HOLD
ZBRA Zebra Technologies Corpo…	BUY 19 analysts	$405	45 HOLD
MSI Motorola Solutions Inc	STRONG BUY 14 analysts	$523	42 HOLD
CIEN Ciena Corp	BUY 16 analysts	$557	49 HOLD
HPE Hewlett Packard Enterpri…	BUY 16 analysts	$65	49 HOLD

CSCO Cisco Systems Inc

52 HOLD

ZBRA Zebra Technologie…

45 HOLD

MSI Motorola Solution…

42 HOLD

CIEN Ciena Corp

49 HOLD

HPE Hewlett Packard E…

49 HOLD

Advanced LITE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LITE price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for LITE

LITE Technical Chart LITE Price Prediction LITE Earnings Date LITE Investment Advisor LITE Fair Price Analyzer LITE Options Advisor LITE Options Chain LITE Options Analysis LITE Competitors

Compare LITE with Peers

LITE vs COHR
Which one to buy?

LITE vs AAOI
Which one to buy?

LITE vs CRDO
Which one to buy?

LITE vs NBIS
Which one to buy?

LITE vs VRT
Which one to buy?

LITE vs MRVL
Winner: MRVL

LITE vs VRT
Winner: VRT

TBCH vs LITE
Winner: LITE

LITE vs SGN

CRDO vs LITE
Winner: CRDO

ASTS vs LITE
Winner: ASTS

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie