ADV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$41.18
1.29 (3.23%)
▲
5d:
+2.87%
30d:
+6.88%
90d:
+54.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $41.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.23 to $42.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.4) compared to its historical average (3.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $36.65, while resistance sits at $47.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $36.65, while resistance sits at $47.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.23 -
$42.67
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.5% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.23 -
$42.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.65
Resistance Level
$47.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.41
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.5% premium
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 3.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.92
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$51.20
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$57.08
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.43
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 98.3%)
$686.56
(+1567%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.4, Growth: 98.3%)
$138.98
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.2, Growth: 98.3%)
$100.87
(+145%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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