ADV
Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
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Advantage Solutions (ADV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.92
-0.37 (-1.15%)
▼
5d:
-19.54%
30d:
+2.8%
90d:
-3.24%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
32/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$27.92 – $32.66
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.7x
STRETCHED
vs 3.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$42.50
+33.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$28.34 / $40.32
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ADV is down 19.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $31.92, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.92 to $32.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (3.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.34, while resistance sits at $40.31.
Market Sentiment: ADV scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+33.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.34, while resistance sits at $40.31.
Market Sentiment: ADV scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+33.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$27.92 -
$32.66
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$27.92 -
$32.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$28.34
Resistance Level
$40.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.1% below Wall St target ($42.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.6% growth with -0.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.67
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+33.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.6% premium
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 3.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.98
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$38.34
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$42.02
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.37
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1565.9%)
$457.80
(+1334%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 1565.9%)
$107.73
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: 1565.9%)
$82.98
(+160%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ADV)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Lifetime Brands (LCUT) surged 17.9% in the last session, backed by strong volume and solid earnings expectations. The company is strengthening its position through operational efficiency, new product innovation, and strategic expansion.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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