Advantage Solutions (ADV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$27.64
0.41 (1.51%)
β²
5d:
-16.55%
30d:
-13.41%
90d:
-30.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ADV is down 16.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ADV is down 16.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.42
14.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $27.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.00 to $34.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.6) is in line with its historical norms (3.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.73, while resistance sits at $34.37.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+52.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.73, while resistance sits at $34.37.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+52.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.00 -
$34.09
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.0% below Wall St target ($42.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.00 -
$34.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.73
Resistance Level
$34.37
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.61
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+52.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
3.6 vs 3.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.94
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.25
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$28.56
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4β4)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.70
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 327.9%)
$527.39
(+1808%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.6, Growth: 327.9%)
$93.28
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.1, Growth: 327.9%)
$79.29
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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