Advantage Solutions (ADV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$30.34
2.04 (7.21%)
â˛
5d:
+3.34%
30d:
-9.54%
90d:
-16.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.42
6.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $30.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.11 to $32.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (3.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.82, while resistance sits at $32.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADV scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+38.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.82, while resistance sits at $32.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADV scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+38.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.11 -
$32.79
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.4% below Wall St target ($42.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.11 -
$32.79
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.82
Resistance Level
$32.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.96
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+38.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 3.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.58
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$32.88
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$34.23
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4â4)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 327.9%)
$513.43
(+1592%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 327.9%)
$102.40
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 327.9%)
$87.04
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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