ADV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$40.23
0.98 (2.51%)
▲
5d:
+6.05%
30d:
+3.51%
90d:
+8.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $40.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.27 to $42.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (3.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.06, while resistance sits at $44.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.06, while resistance sits at $44.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.27 -
$42.69
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.6% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.27 -
$42.69
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.06
Resistance Level
$44.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.20
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 3.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.61
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$46.28
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$50.26
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.48
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 98.3%)
$653.46
(+1565%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 98.3%)
$132.44
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.3, Growth: 98.3%)
$104.02
(+165%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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