Advantage Solutions (ADV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$33.32
0.69 (2.11%) ▲
5d: +4.39%
30d: +7.14%
90d: -15.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ADV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.49
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $33.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.83 to $35.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (3.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.16, while resistance sits at $34.89.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $29.83 - $35.12
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($42.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.3% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $29.83 - $35.12
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.16
Resistance Level $34.89
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.35
Wall Street Target $42.00 (+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.6%
Profit Margin -7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.3% premium
PE vs Historical 4.4 vs 3.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.09 (+8%)
2-Year Target $39.08 (+17%)
3-Year Target $42.32 (+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→3) PE COMPRESSION $33.08 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 327.9%) $521.44 (+1465%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 327.9%) $112.45 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 3.4, Growth: 327.9%) $87.90 (+164%)
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:40 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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