Advantage Solutions (ADV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$33.32
0.69 (2.11%)
â˛
5d:
+4.39%
30d:
+7.14%
90d:
-15.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $33.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.83 to $35.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (3.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.16, while resistance sits at $34.89.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.16, while resistance sits at $34.89.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.83 -
$35.12
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($42.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.3% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.83 -
$35.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.16
Resistance Level
$34.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.35
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.3% premium
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 3.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.09
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$39.08
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$42.32
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4â3)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.08
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 327.9%)
$521.44
(+1465%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 327.9%)
$112.45
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 327.9%)
$87.90
(+164%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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