ADV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$39.83
3.99 (11.13%)
▲
5d:
+2.39%
30d:
-2.45%
90d:
+4990.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $39.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.92 to $40.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (3.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.19, while resistance sits at $41.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.19, while resistance sits at $41.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$35.92 -
$40.10
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+11.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.1% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.92 -
$40.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.19
Resistance Level
$41.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.26
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.1% premium
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 3.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.65
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$50.05
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$56.11
(+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.47
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 98.3%)
$686.56
(+1624%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 98.3%)
$134.43
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.0, Growth: 98.3%)
$94.57
(+137%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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