TTD
The Trade Desk, Inc.
SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
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The Trade Desk (TTD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$15.47
-0.51 (-3.19%)
▼
5d:
+20.77%
30d:
+27.01%
90d:
+9.41%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
0d
Protect TTD Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (11%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$11.87 – $14.03
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.6x
STRETCHED
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.10
-8.9% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.23 / $16.42
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TTD is 10.3% above its trading range ($14.03). Market expects 6.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $12.29 · last confirmed Nov 12, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.49
Based on -5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TTD is currently trading at $15.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.87 to $14.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TTD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.23, while resistance sits at $16.42. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TTD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TTD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.23, while resistance sits at $16.42. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TTD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.87 -
$14.03
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
10.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.87 -
$14.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$12.23
Resistance Level
$16.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TTD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($14.10)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with -0.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.55
Wall Street Target
$14.10
(-8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.2%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 12.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.41
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$17.41
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$18.48
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -15.6%)
$15.40
(+-1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: -15.6%)
$11.28
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: -15.6%)
$9.46
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$27.49
(+78%)
Analyst growth 56.4%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$24.99
(+62%)
Market implied 56.4%, PE stable at 23.5
Bear Case
$10.87
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TTD)
Bearish
10 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
4
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
6 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) reported Q3 2026 earnings with revenue beating expectations but flat year-over-year. The company also announced workforce savings and a Q4 revenue outlook of at least $755 million.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings report
Workforce savings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TTD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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