What is the fair value of MGNI stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MGNI to be between $23.82 and $25.32. The current price is $23.47.

What is the analyst price target for MGNI?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MGNI is $29.67. This implies a potential upside of 25.6% from current levels.

Magnite (MGNI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$23.47

-0.15 (-0.64%) ▼

5d: -4.13%

30d: -2.45%

90d: +26.8%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your MGNI Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 12d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 14, 2026 at $23.87 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026

Strength: 8.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGNI trades at premium valuation expecting 7.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 19.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$32.80

Based on 12.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$20.37

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $23.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.82 to $25.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.67 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $23.82 - $25.32

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 78.6%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($29.67)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.9% growth which is achievable
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $23.82 - $25.32

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.06

Resistance Level $25.86

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.87

Wall Street Target $29.67 (+25.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 65.3%

Profit Margin 22.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +7.9% premium

PE vs Historical 17.9 vs 14.2 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +7.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $25.49 (+8%)

2-Year Target $27.50 (+16%)

3-Year Target $29.67 (+26%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→14) PE COMPRESSION $23.58 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.9%) $45.20 (+91%)

Base: (SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 19.9%) $40.67 (+72%)

Bear: (PE: 14.2, Growth: 19.9%) $32.32 (+37%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 21.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10

Bull Case $31.48 (+33%)

Analyst growth 20.2%, PE expands to 23.8

Base Case $28.62 (+21%)

Market implied 20.2%, PE stable at 21.7

Bear Case $16.19 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced MGNI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MGNI price and gamma walls.

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