MGNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock
$23.50
0.15 (0.64%)
â˛
5d:
-4.97%
30d:
+31.14%
90d:
+78.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $23.85 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MGNI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MGNI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.54
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $23.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.99 to $23.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MGNI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.33 (+16.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MGNI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.33 (+16.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$18.99 -
$23.80
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.99 -
$23.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.12
Resistance Level
$25.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.22
Wall Street Target
$27.33
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.3%
Profit Margin
22.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.6% premium
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 13.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.23
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$29.27
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$32.66
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.7%)
$41.19
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 16.7%)
$37.39
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 16.7%)
$26.89
(+14%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$30.68
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$27.89
(+19%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$15.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MGNI price and gamma walls.
