MGNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock
$20.41
0.07 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
-2.06%
30d:
+30.25%
90d:
+70.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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1 traders called MGNI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGNI trades at premium valuation expecting 9.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MGNI trades at premium valuation expecting 9.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.56
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $20.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.12 to $20.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGNI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGNI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.12 -
$20.16
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.6% growth expectation is conservative given 230% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.12 -
$20.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.18
Resistance Level
$15.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.51
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
230.0%
Profit Margin
22.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 12.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.37
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$24.52
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$26.87
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$37.61
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 11.8%)
$28.52
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 11.8%)
$21.59
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$26.34
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.7%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$23.94
(+17%)
Market implied 17.7%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$13.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Adam Lee Soroca
SELL
21529 shares
2026-02-18
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