Magnite (MGNI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock
$25.44
0.18 (0.71%)
▲
5d:
+5.69%
30d:
+11.14%
90d:
+24.83%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGNI trades at premium valuation expecting 11.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MGNI trades at premium valuation expecting 11.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.95
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $25.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.39 to $24.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.09, while resistance sits at $26.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.67 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.09, while resistance sits at $26.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.67 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.39 -
$24.94
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.5% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.39 -
$24.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.09
Resistance Level
$26.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.26
Wall Street Target
$29.67
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.3%
Profit Margin
22.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.5% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 13.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.37
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$31.63
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$35.26
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.45
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 19.7%)
$46.17
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 19.7%)
$43.58
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 19.7%)
$31.46
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$33.99
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.3%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$30.90
(+21%)
Market implied 22.3%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$17.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MGNI price and gamma walls.
