MGNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock
$19.30
-0.09 (-0.46%)
▼
5d:
+4.27%
30d:
-4.83%
90d:
+50.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.92
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $19.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.35 to $20.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.73, while resistance sits at $20.11.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.40 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.73, while resistance sits at $20.11.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.40 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.35 -
$20.39
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.40)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.3% growth expectation is conservative given 230% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.35 -
$20.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.73
Resistance Level
$20.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.69
Wall Street Target
$22.40
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
230.0%
Profit Margin
22.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 12.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.81
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$22.32
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$23.95
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$35.94
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$27.09
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$21.93
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$25.55
(+32%)
Analyst growth 17.7%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$23.23
(+20%)
Market implied 17.7%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$13.42
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Adam Lee Soroca
SELL
21529 shares
2026-02-18
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