MGNI Magnite, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC. Best Computer Services Stocks 2026 →

Magnite (MGNI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$28.52
-0.52 (-1.79%) ▼
5d: +27.66% 30d: +13.72% 90d: +17.17%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$22.18 – $26.25
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.1x STRETCHED
vs 14.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$31.87
+11.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.88 / $29.25
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGNI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $29.03 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.69
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.68
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $28.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.18 to $26.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.1) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MGNI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.87 (+11.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $22.18 - $26.25
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 20.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $22.18 - $26.25
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $20.88
Resistance Level $29.25
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.6% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.87)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 13.4% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.07
Wall Street Target $31.87 (+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 76.9%
Profit Margin 23.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +13.4% premium
PE vs Historical 21.1 vs 14.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +13.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.34 (+13%)
2-Year Target $36.68 (+29%)
3-Year Target $41.59 (+46%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→14) PE COMPRESSION $28.42 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.1, Growth: 16.6%) $45.21 (+59%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.6%) $42.61 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 14.4, Growth: 16.6%) $30.90 (+8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.20
Bull Case $36.03 (+26%)
Analyst growth 12.8%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case $32.76 (+15%)
Market implied 12.8%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case $19.75 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MGNI)

Bullish 4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The Trade Desk's stock is up 8% in morning trading ahead of its upcoming earnings report. The company is expected to report on November 9 and has guided Q3 2026 revenue to at least $650 million and adjusted EBITDA to approximately $160 million, both below Q2 results.
Key Retail Themes: The Trade Desk's upcoming earnings report Company's financial targets and expectations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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