AEBI
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock
CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP
Aebi Schmidt (AEBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.70
-0.47 (-4.25%)
▼
5d:
-8.04%
30d:
-4.85%
90d:
-21.88%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$10.98 – $11.42
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.0x
CHEAP
vs 11.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.00
+59.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.02 / $12.11
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AEBI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.89
32.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEBI is currently trading at $10.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.98 to $11.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.02, while resistance sits at $12.11. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+59.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.02, while resistance sits at $12.11. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+59.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.98 -
$11.42
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$10.98 -
$11.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$10.02
Resistance Level
$12.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.0% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.95
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+59.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
78.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.0%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.00
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$9.35
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$8.74
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$10.74
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 63.7%)
$80.10
(+649%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 63.7%)
$36.10
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 63.7%)
$30.68
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$24.57
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.6
Base Case
$22.34
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case
$7.60
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.15
(+22.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AEBI)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits as one trader discloses a $1,500 share purchase of $AEBI stock.
Key Retail Themes:
Buy and Hold
Long Position
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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