Aebi Schmidt (AEBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEBI - Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock
$12.06
0.07 (0.58%)
▲
5d:
-4.06%
30d:
-7.16%
90d:
-1.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AEBI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AEBI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.94
28.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEBI is currently trading at $12.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.15 to $13.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+41.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+41.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.15 -
$13.01
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.0% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.15 -
$13.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.91
Resistance Level
$13.04
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.73
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+41.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
78.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.0%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.47
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$10.91
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$10.37
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$12.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 64.2%)
$84.41
(+600%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 64.2%)
$40.70
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 64.2%)
$34.60
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case
$26.38
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.0
Base Case
$23.98
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.0
Bear Case
$8.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$14.01
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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