Aebi Schmidt (AEBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEBI - Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock
$10.91
0.18 (1.68%)
▲
5d:
-0.82%
30d:
-14.77%
90d:
-6.67%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
Get Alerted When AEBI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AEBI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AEBI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.18
32.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEBI is currently trading at $10.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.25 to $12.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.33, while resistance sits at $12.32.
Market Sentiment: AEBI scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+55.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.33, while resistance sits at $12.32.
Market Sentiment: AEBI scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+55.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.25 -
$12.55
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.8% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 27% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.25 -
$12.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.33
Resistance Level
$12.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.13
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+55.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
78.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.0%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.20
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$9.54
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$8.92
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$10.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 63.7%)
$82.28
(+654%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 63.7%)
$36.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 63.7%)
$31.30
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.32
Bull Case
$23.61
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.9
Base Case
$21.46
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.5
Bear Case
$7.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$13.38
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AEBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$976 | 61 BUY |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
19 analysts |
$14 | 52 HOLD |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$691 | 42 HOLD |
|
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$169 | 66 BUY |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$145 | 68 BUY |