AEBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEBI - Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock
$11.89
0.18 (1.54%)
▲
5d:
+1.71%
30d:
-0.17%
90d:
+4.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEBI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEBI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.26
38.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEBI is currently trading at $11.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.69 to $12.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.11, while resistance sits at $13.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.11, while resistance sits at $13.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.69 -
$12.63
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($15.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.69 -
$12.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.11
Resistance Level
$13.29
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.81
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
82.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.0%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 11.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.80
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$9.80
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$8.90
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$11.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 87.5%)
$99.24
(+735%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 87.5%)
$40.13
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 87.5%)
$34.11
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.69
Bull Case
$14.36
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$11.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$9.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$15.93
(+34.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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