AEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEM - Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd.
$216.06
4.02 (1.90%)
▲
5d:
+15.87%
30d:
+49.51%
90d:
+21.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AEM is 15.7% above its trading range ($186.77). Market expects 6.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AEM is 15.7% above its trading range ($186.77). Market expects 6.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$213.69
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEM is currently trading at $216.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $138.90 to $186.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $218.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $218.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$138.90 -
$186.77
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
13.3%
Protect Your Profits
AEM is technically overbought (RSI 82). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+15.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($214.98)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$138.90 -
$186.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$174.65
Resistance Level
$218.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.29
Wall Street Target
$214.98
(-0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.4%
Profit Margin
40.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 14.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$229.46
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$243.68
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$258.79
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$215.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.0%)
$273.63
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 3.0%)
$235.75
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 3.0%)
$196.32
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.92
Bull Case
$244.49
(+13%)
Analyst growth 4.8%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$222.26
(+3%)
Market implied 4.8%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$144.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEM price and gamma walls.
