NEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEM - Newmont Corporation
$101.80
-1.99 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
+1.57%
30d:
-5.21%
90d:
+6.26%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.7% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.7% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$187.07
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.16
12.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEM is currently trading at $101.80, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.60 to $110.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $94.95, while resistance sits at $111.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.65 (+38.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $94.95, while resistance sits at $111.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.65 (+38.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$100.60 -
$110.74
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.2% below Wall St target ($140.65)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.60 -
$110.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$94.95
Resistance Level
$111.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.94
Wall Street Target
$140.65
(+38.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.6%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.96
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$86.73
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$80.05
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$102.13
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$341.10
(+235%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 11.2%)
$139.93
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 11.2%)
$118.94
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.71
Bull Case
$168.71
(+66%)
Analyst growth 47.8%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$153.37
(+51%)
Market implied 47.8%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$70.58
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$129.88
(+27.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Toth
SELL
3000 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Peter Toth
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3000 shares
2026-03-18
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