Newmont (NEM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEM - Newmont Corporation
$127.27
1.13 (0.89%)
â˛
5d:
-2.43%
30d:
+8.0%
90d:
+30.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $128.09 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 8.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NEM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NEM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.57
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEM is currently trading at $127.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.21 to $131.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $121.55, while resistance sits at $133.70.
Market Sentiment: NEM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $121.55, while resistance sits at $133.70.
Market Sentiment: NEM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$111.21 -
$131.64
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($132.87)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.21 -
$131.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$121.55
Resistance Level
$133.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.51
Wall Street Target
$132.87
(+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Profit Margin
33.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.44
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$136.96
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$142.71
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$126.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.2%)
$272.25
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 10.2%)
$168.83
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$143.51
(+14%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.93
Bull Case
$180.05
(+43%)
Analyst growth 27.2%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$163.68
(+30%)
Market implied 27.2%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$87.52
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Toth
SELL
3000 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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2026-03-18
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Advanced NEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEM price and gamma walls.
