Newmont (NEM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$119.96
-5.20 (-4.15%)
▼
5d:
+11.62%
30d:
+2.4%
90d:
+1.8%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Protect NEM Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$110.95 – $119.35
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.1x
FAIR
vs 11.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$135.47
+12.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$104.51 / $127.28
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NEM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $121.16 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 9.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.58
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEM is currently trading at $119.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.95 to $119.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $104.51, while resistance sits at $127.28. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEM scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.47 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $104.51, while resistance sits at $127.28. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEM scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.47 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$110.95 -
$119.35
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$110.95 -
$119.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$104.51
Resistance Level
$127.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding NEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($135.47)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.10
Wall Street Target
$135.47
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.7%
Profit Margin
34.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.20
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$126.53
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$129.94
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$120.28
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.3%)
$250.11
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 8.3%)
$152.38
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 8.3%)
$129.52
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.62
Bull Case
$158.35
(+32%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$143.96
(+20%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$85.11
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NEM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Alamos Gold's stock has a chance to rise 50% due to expanding operations and high operating margin, but faces risks from gold prices and margin sustainability.
Key Retail Themes:
Operating margin
Expanding operations
Gold prices
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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