AGL
agilon health, inc.
SERVICES-MISC HEALTH & ALLIED SERVICES, NEC
agilon health (AGL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$110.30
-4.51 (-3.93%)
▼
5d:
-3.05%
30d:
+26.2%
90d:
+13.83%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect AGL Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (31%)
Quality Score
21/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$82.26 – $103.79
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.3x
CHEAP
vs 40.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$120.25
+9.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$82.24 / $127.00
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AGL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$241.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$149.69
26.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGL is currently trading at $110.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.26 to $103.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.3) compared to its historical average (40.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 301.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $82.24, while resistance sits at $127.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $82.24, while resistance sits at $127.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$82.26 -
$103.79
Company Quality Score
21/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
30.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$82.26 -
$103.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.79
(8.9%)
Support Level
$82.24
Resistance Level
$127.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
AGL is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($120.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 21/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.27
Wall Street Target
$120.25
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
301.0%
Profit Margin
-1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 40.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.27
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$89.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$80.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→40)
$144.76
(+31%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 99.4%)
$372.26
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 99.4%)
$331.92
(+201%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 99.4%)
$282.13
(+156%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.3 to 40.1
Stabilization Target:
$198.58
(+80.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+80.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AGL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 18, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message suggests optimism towards $AGL's potential for significant price growth.
Key Retail Themes:
bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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