agilon health (AGL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGL - agilon health, inc.
$89.77
-2.83 (-3.06%)
âŧ
5d:
+3.8%
30d:
+4.07%
90d:
-22.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AGL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AGL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.00
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGL is currently trading at $89.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.76 to $97.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 43.7) compared to its historical average (49.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 301.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $82.61, while resistance sits at $97.26. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGL scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.08 (+28.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $82.61, while resistance sits at $97.26. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGL scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.08 (+28.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$87.76 -
$97.28
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
5th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 5th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($115.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.76 -
$97.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$9.97
(11.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.61
Resistance Level
$97.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.68
Wall Street Target
$115.08
(+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
301.0%
Profit Margin
-3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
43.7 vs 49.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.09
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$82.56
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$79.17
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44â50)
$89.73
(0%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 43.7 to 49.5
Stabilization Target:
$101.74
(+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AGL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGL price and gamma walls.
