agilon health (AGL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGL - agilon health, inc.
$89.66
-0.63 (-0.69%)
âŧ
5d:
+5.34%
30d:
+18.24%
90d:
-8.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AGL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AGL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.72
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGL is currently trading at $89.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.63 to $90.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.2) is in line with its historical norms (41.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 301.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.16, while resistance sits at $94.37.
Market Sentiment: AGL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.83 (+28.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.16, while resistance sits at $94.37.
Market Sentiment: AGL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.83 (+28.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$81.63 -
$90.13
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
16th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.3% below Wall St target ($115.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.63 -
$90.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$10.41
(11.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.16
Resistance Level
$94.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.24
Wall Street Target
$115.83
(+28.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
301.0%
Profit Margin
-3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
38.2 vs 41.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.21
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$86.18
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$84.20
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38â41)
$90.29
(0%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.2 to 41.0
Stabilization Target:
$96.82
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AGL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGL price and gamma walls.
