AGYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGYS - Agilysys, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$100.82
0.51 (0.51%)
▲
5d:
+1.18%
30d:
-11.18%
90d:
-9.17%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AGYS is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AGYS is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGYS is currently trading at $100.82, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.52 to $113.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 46.1) is in line with its historical norms (45.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGYS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AGYS scores 93/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.50 (+34.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGYS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AGYS scores 93/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.50 (+34.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$99.52 -
$113.42
Company Quality Score
81/100
(STRONG BUY)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (93/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($134.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 26% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.52 -
$113.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.01
(8.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.57
Resistance Level
$102.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.13
Wall Street Target
$134.50
(+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
88.2%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
46.1 vs 45.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.11
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$101.92
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$102.74
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→45)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.1, Growth: 31.4%)
$227.75
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 31.4%)
$100.71
(+0%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 31.4%)
$85.60
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 45.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.20
Bull Case
$121.12
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 48.0
Base Case
$100.31
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 45.7
Bear Case
$76.74
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 41.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AGYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGYS price and gamma walls.
