SHOP
Shopify Inc. Class A subordinate voting shares
SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
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SHOP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$147.09
+0.31 (+0.21%)
▲
5d:
-1.22%
30d:
-17.43%
90d:
-1.05%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect SHOP Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
63/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$151.44 – $173.29
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
59.8x
FAIR
vs 60.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$177.29
+20.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$135.65 / $160.88
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SHOP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $157.49 · last confirmed Nov 13, 2026
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHOP is currently trading at $147.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.44 to $173.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 59.8) is in line with its historical norms (60.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHOP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $135.65, while resistance sits at $160.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $177.29 (+20.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHOP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $135.65, while resistance sits at $160.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $177.29 (+20.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$151.44 -
$173.29
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$151.44 -
$173.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$135.65
Resistance Level
$160.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding SHOP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($177.29)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
59.80
Wall Street Target
$177.29
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.5%
Profit Margin
15.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
59.8 vs 60.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$146.65
(0%)
2-Year Target
$146.21
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$145.77
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 60→60)
$147.24
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 59.8, Growth: 29.1%)
$316.35
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.1%)
$105.07
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 29.1%)
$89.31
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 59.52 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.47
Bull Case
$177.61
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 62.5
Base Case
$147.09
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 59.5
Bear Case
$112.52
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 53.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 59.8 to 60.4
Stabilization Target:
$148.58
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SHOP)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
PayPal's checkout button growth remains stagnant despite the success of newer businesses like Venmo and financial services
Key Retail Themes:
PayPal's checkout button growth
Growth of Venmo and financial services
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 11:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHOP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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