Albemarle (ALB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALB - Albemarle Corporation
$117.52
-4.59 (-3.76%)
▼
5d:
-11.08%
30d:
-8.43%
90d:
-26.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $126.28 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALB is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALB is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$294.28
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$182.73
35.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALB is currently trading at $117.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.26 to $137.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (42.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 37.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALB scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $172.56 (+46.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALB scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $172.56 (+46.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$124.26 -
$137.32
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 46.8% below Wall St target ($172.56)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$124.26 -
$137.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.24
Resistance Level
$141.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.40
Wall Street Target
$172.56
(+46.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.2%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-37.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 42.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-37.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$95.19
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$85.67
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→42)
$347.55
(+196%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -2.3%)
$212.41
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: -2.3%)
$109.55
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: -2.3%)
$93.11
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.27
Bull Case
$141.91
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$117.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$89.90
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 42.2
Stabilization Target:
$476.75
(+305.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+305.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ALB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALB price and gamma walls.
