Alight (ALIT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.21
-0.44 (-3.48%)
▼
5d:
+20.65%
30d:
+32.0%
90d:
-12.72%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect ALIT Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (13%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$8.48 – $10.11
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
2.9x
STRETCHED
vs 2.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.33
+33.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.16 / $16.78
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ALIT is 20.8% above its trading range ($10.11). Market expects 5.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.04
Based on -2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALIT is currently trading at $12.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.48 to $10.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 2.9) compared to its historical average (2.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALIT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.16, while resistance sits at $16.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALIT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.33 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALIT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.16, while resistance sits at $16.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALIT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.33 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.48 -
$10.11
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
13.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.48 -
$10.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$8.16
Resistance Level
$16.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALIT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+20.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($16.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.90
Wall Street Target
$16.33
(+33.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
-46.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
2.9 vs 2.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.84
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$13.51
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$14.22
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.28
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.8%)
$61.41
(+403%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.9, Growth: -9.8%)
$8.95
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.5, Growth: -9.8%)
$7.61
(-38%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ALIT)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Alight named a Leader in Everest Group's US Health and Welfare Benefits PEAK Matrix Assessment 2026, reflecting their capabilities in technology, administration, and employee support.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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