Alight (ALIT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ALIT - Alight, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$11.96
-0.09 (-0.75%) β–Ό
5d: -19.68%
30d: -14.51%
90d: +1648.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALIT is down 19.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.93
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.37
3.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ALIT is currently trading at $11.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.89 to $15.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.3) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ALIT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: ALIT scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+236.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $12.89 - $15.75
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 236.5% below Wall St target ($40.25)
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.89 - $15.75
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.98 (16.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.84
Resistance Level $15.10
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.27
Wall Street Target $40.25 (+236.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.2%
Profit Margin -90.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 2.3 vs 2.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.43 (-4%)
2-Year Target $10.93 (-9%)
3-Year Target $10.45 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 2β†’3) $11.98 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.6%) $147.72 (+1135%)
Base: (SPY PE: 2.3, Growth: 11.6%) $16.61 (+39%)
Bear: (PE: 1.9, Growth: 11.6%) $14.12 (+18%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.3 to 2.6
Stabilization Target: $13.71 (+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.6%
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert A Jr. Lopes BUY 30000 shares 2026-03-16

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Advanced ALIT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALIT price and gamma walls.

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