Alight (ALIT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALIT - Alight, Inc.
$9.06
0.14 (1.57%)
▲
5d:
-19.68%
30d:
-34.44%
90d:
-36.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALIT is down 19.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALIT is down 19.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.80
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.67
22.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALIT is currently trading at $9.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.77 to $14.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.7) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALIT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ALIT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+87.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALIT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ALIT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+87.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.77 -
$14.33
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
37th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALIT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 87.6% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.77 -
$14.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.71
(18.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.81
Resistance Level
$13.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.74
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+87.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Profit Margin
-90.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.7 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.15
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$9.89
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.5%)
$139.78
(+1443%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.7, Growth: 9.5%)
$11.89
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.5, Growth: 9.5%)
$10.11
(+12%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.7 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.57
(+49.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ALIT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALIT price and gamma walls.
