AM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AM - Antero Midstream Corporation Common Stock
$22.14
-0.12 (-0.54%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.82%
30d:
-3.78%
90d:
+1.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.62
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.98
7.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AM is currently trading at $22.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.71 to $22.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.35, while resistance sits at $22.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.35, while resistance sits at $22.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.71 -
$22.68
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.71 -
$22.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.35
Resistance Level
$22.90
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.74
Wall Street Target
$24.29
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.61
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$21.09
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$20.58
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â15)
$22.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.4%)
$50.96
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 16.4%)
$34.88
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 16.4%)
$29.65
(+34%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$48.13
(+117%)
Analyst growth 96.6%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case
$43.76
(+98%)
Market implied 96.6%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$15.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$23.86
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 11:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brooks J Klimley
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-12
Sheri Pearce
SELL
14000 shares
2026-03-10
Yvette K Schultz
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-09
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