Antero Midstream (AM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$20.02
+0.24 (+1.21%)
â˛
5d:
+0.81%
30d:
-5.03%
90d:
-9.33%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$19.95 â $21.23
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.4x
CHEAP
vs 14.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$23.71
+18.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.80 / $21.92
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.13
28.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AM is currently trading at $20.02, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.95 to $21.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 241.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.80, while resistance sits at $21.92.
Market Sentiment: AM scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.71 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.80, while resistance sits at $21.92.
Market Sentiment: AM scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.71 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$19.95 -
$21.23
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$19.95 -
$21.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$18.80
Resistance Level
$21.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.71)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.39
Wall Street Target
$23.71
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
241.7%
Profit Margin
50.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.06
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$18.14
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$17.27
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â14)
$20.08
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 81.4%)
$108.30
(+441%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 81.4%)
$67.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 81.4%)
$57.43
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case
$24.76
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.8%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$22.51
(+12%)
Market implied 13.8%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$13.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$23.27
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AM)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits user expresses a bullish sentiment towards $AM, expressing a long-term investment strategy and anticipation of the next question or catalyst.
Key Retail Themes:
Long-term investment strategy
Anticipation of catalyst
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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