Antero Midstream (AM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AM - Antero Midstream Corporation Common Stock
$22.06
-0.21 (-0.94%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.78%
30d:
-0.81%
90d:
+3.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.36
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.82
7.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AM is currently trading at $22.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.81 to $22.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.29 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.29 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.81 -
$22.63
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.81 -
$22.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.01
Resistance Level
$23.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.69
Wall Street Target
$24.29
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.53
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$21.01
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$20.51
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â15)
$22.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.4%)
$51.22
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 16.4%)
$34.75
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 16.4%)
$29.54
(+34%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$48.75
(+121%)
Analyst growth 99.0%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$44.32
(+101%)
Market implied 99.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$15.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$23.69
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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