Antero Midstream (AM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AM - Antero Midstream Corporation Common Stock
$20.36
0.10 (0.49%)
▲
5d:
-2.72%
30d:
-9.55%
90d:
-7.79%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.10
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.65
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AM is currently trading at $20.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.82 to $22.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AM scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+17.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AM scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+17.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.82 -
$22.49
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.82 -
$22.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.95
Resistance Level
$21.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.63
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.40
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$18.49
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$17.62
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$20.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.4%)
$51.80
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 16.4%)
$32.07
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 16.4%)
$27.26
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$43.28
(+113%)
Analyst growth 94.2%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$39.35
(+93%)
Market implied 94.2%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$13.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$23.53
(+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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