Antero Midstream (AM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AM - Antero Midstream Corporation Common Stock
$20.61
-0.14 (-0.67%)
âŧ
5d:
+3.46%
30d:
-3.6%
90d:
-9.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.83
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.49
12.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AM is currently trading at $20.61, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.44 to $21.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.61, while resistance sits at $21.38.
Market Sentiment: AM scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.61, while resistance sits at $21.38.
Market Sentiment: AM scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$20.44 -
$21.26
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.44 -
$21.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.61
Resistance Level
$21.38
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.79
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.76
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$18.95
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$18.18
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â15)
$20.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.4%)
$50.43
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 16.4%)
$32.47
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 16.4%)
$27.60
(+34%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$44.33
(+115%)
Analyst growth 94.2%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$40.30
(+96%)
Market implied 94.2%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case
$14.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$23.37
(+13.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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