AM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AM - Antero Midstream Corporation Common Stock
$21.97
0.42 (1.95%)
▲
5d:
-3.43%
30d:
-2.05%
90d:
+0.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.88
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.14
9.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AM is currently trading at $21.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.01 to $22.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.09, while resistance sits at $23.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.09, while resistance sits at $23.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.01 -
$22.85
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.01 -
$22.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.09
Resistance Level
$23.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.63
Wall Street Target
$24.14
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Profit Margin
31.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.33
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$20.71
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$20.11
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$21.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.4%)
$52.64
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 16.4%)
$34.61
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 16.4%)
$29.42
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$46.04
(+110%)
Analyst growth 94.2%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$41.85
(+91%)
Market implied 94.2%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$14.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$24.02
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brooks J Klimley
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-12
Sheri Pearce
SELL
14000 shares
2026-03-10
Yvette K Schultz
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-09
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