AME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AME - Ametek, Inc.
$233.98
0.99 (0.42%)
▲
5d:
-0.27%
30d:
+1.82%
90d:
+0.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AME shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AME shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$298.07
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$185.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AME is currently trading at $233.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $226.32 to $237.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.5) is in line with its historical norms (26.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $226.51, while resistance sits at $243.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.83 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $226.51, while resistance sits at $243.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.83 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$226.32 -
$237.62
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($262.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$226.32 -
$237.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$226.51
Resistance Level
$243.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.50
Wall Street Target
$262.83
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
26.5 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$235.15
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$236.33
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$237.51
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$233.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$298.35
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$245.25
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$208.46
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.66
Bull Case
$339.82
(+45%)
Analyst growth 32.6%, PE expands to 38.5
Base Case
$308.93
(+32%)
Market implied 32.6%, PE stable at 35.0
Bear Case
$158.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas A Amato
SELL
530 shares
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
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