Ametek (AME) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AME - Ametek, Inc.
$248.62
-5.10 (-2.01%)
▼
5d:
+0.36%
30d:
+4.57%
90d:
+6.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AME shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AME shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$368.88
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$229.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AME is currently trading at $248.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $234.37 to $247.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.0) is in line with its historical norms (26.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $242.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $280.28 (+12.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $242.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $280.28 (+12.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$234.37 -
$247.42
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AME? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($280.28)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$234.37 -
$247.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$242.11
Resistance Level
$255.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.03
Wall Street Target
$280.28
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Profit Margin
20.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.0 vs 26.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$247.87
(0%)
2-Year Target
$247.13
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$246.39
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
$247.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.0, Growth: 14.3%)
$371.11
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 14.3%)
$280.85
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 14.3%)
$238.72
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.84
Bull Case
$389.69
(+57%)
Analyst growth 39.6%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case
$354.27
(+43%)
Market implied 39.6%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case
$172.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.0 to 26.2
Stabilization Target:
$250.23
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 07, 2026 7:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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