AME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AME - Ametek, Inc.
$239.55
0.47 (0.20%)
â˛
5d:
-5.98%
30d:
-0.66%
90d:
+7.34%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AME is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AME is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$302.34
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$187.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AME is currently trading at $239.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $236.24 to $252.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.6) is in line with its historical norms (26.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $237.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AME scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $277.50 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $237.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AME scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $277.50 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$236.24 -
$252.49
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AME? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($277.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$236.24 -
$252.49
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$237.40
Resistance Level
$261.16
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.62
Wall Street Target
$277.50
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Profit Margin
20.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 26.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$240.27
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$240.99
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$241.71
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27â26)
PE COMPRESSION
$239.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.6, Growth: 8.2%)
$303.10
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$228.52
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$194.24
(-19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.72
Bull Case
$352.17
(+47%)
Analyst growth 33.9%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$320.16
(+34%)
Market implied 33.9%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case
$162.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas A Amato
SELL
530 shares
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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