AMN Healthcare Services (AMN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMN - AMN Healthcare Services
$35.46
-0.41 (-1.14%)
▼
5d:
+2.6%
30d:
+5.72%
90d:
+2.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMN trades at premium valuation expecting 13.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: AMN trades at premium valuation expecting 13.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.85
Based on -33.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMN is currently trading at $35.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.64 to $34.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 38.3) compared to its historical average (26.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.64 -
$34.91
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.14)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 13.2% growth expectation is conservative given 321% recent growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.64 -
$34.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.10
(8.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.41
Resistance Level
$36.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.30
Wall Street Target
$36.14
(+0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
321.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.2% premium
PE vs Historical
38.3 vs 26.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.60
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$45.96
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$52.03
(+45%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.3, Growth: -71.5%)
$26.15
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -71.5%)
$13.93
(-61%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -71.5%)
$11.84
(-67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.74
Bull Case
$19.22
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$17.48
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$23.77
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMN price and gamma walls.
