Ameriprise Financial (AMP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$514.32
-5.74 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
+0.98%
30d:
+3.73%
90d:
-9.7%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect AMP Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$489.41 – $511.07
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.1x
FAIR
vs 10.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$545.18
+4.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$485.44 / $539.78
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$785.15
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$487.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMP is currently trading at $514.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $489.41 to $511.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $485.44, while resistance sits at $539.78.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $485.44, while resistance sits at $539.78.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$489.41 -
$511.07
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$489.41 -
$511.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.16
(3.7%)
Support Level
$485.44
Resistance Level
$539.78
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($545.18)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.08
Wall Street Target
$545.18
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Profit Margin
20.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$515.38
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$510.74
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$506.14
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$522.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$1437.16
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$729.53
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.9%)
$620.10
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $44.40
Bull Case
$664.53
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.2%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$604.12
(+16%)
Market implied 16.2%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$353.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$536.50
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMP)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Ameriprise Financial (AMP) is set to report earnings on Thursday, with revenue growth expected to slow from last quarter. The stock price has been flat over the last month, with an average analyst price target of $554.64.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings Report
Revenue Growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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