AMPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPG - AMPLITECH GROUP INC. COM
$4.61
-0.04 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
-8.99%
30d:
-23.12%
90d:
+124.63%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMPG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: AMPG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.74
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPG is currently trading at $4.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.46 to $7.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMPG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+50.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMPG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+50.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.46 -
$7.21
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.5% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 48.6% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.46 -
$7.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.50
Resistance Level
$6.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.57
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+50.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
48.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.6%
Profit Margin
-24.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 10.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.92
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$5.21
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$5.51
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.64
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 54.2%)
$25.89
(+457%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 54.2%)
$15.69
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 54.2%)
$13.24
(+185%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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