AMPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPG - AMPLITECH GROUP INC. COM
$3.46
0.02 (0.58%)
▲
5d:
-13.39%
30d:
-45.43%
90d:
-34.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMPG is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMPG is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.83
28.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPG is currently trading at $3.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.28 to $6.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+102.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+102.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.28 -
$6.43
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 102.3% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.28 -
$6.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.37
Resistance Level
$6.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.35
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+102.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.6%
Profit Margin
-33.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.29
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$3.14
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$2.99
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$3.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 54.2%)
$25.06
(+624%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 54.2%)
$11.68
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 54.2%)
$9.93
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$4.00
(+15.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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