Amplitude (AMPL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$17.07
0.55 (3.33%)
▲
5d:
+7.83%
30d:
+24.1%
90d:
+110.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $17.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.46 to $15.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 98.3) compared to its historical average (65.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $15.14. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $15.14. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.46 -
$15.60
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
Protect Your Profits
AMPL is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading 11.3% above Wall St target ($15.14)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.46 -
$15.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.63
Resistance Level
$17.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
98.27
Wall Street Target
$15.14
(-11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
-26.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.4% premium
PE vs Historical
98.3 vs 65.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.53
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$22.34
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$25.56
(+50%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 98→66)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 98.3, Growth: 133.8%)
$57.61
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 133.8%)
$11.64
(-32%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 133.8%)
$9.90
(-42%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AMPL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMPL price and gamma walls.
