AMPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.36
0.18 (1.96%)
▲
5d:
+5.05%
30d:
+35.65%
90d:
+66.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AMPL is 8.5% above its trading range ($8.63). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AMPL is 8.5% above its trading range ($8.63). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $9.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.62 to $8.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 69.8) compared to its historical average (60.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMPL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.86 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMPL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.86 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.62 -
$8.63
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.86)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.62 -
$8.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.32
Resistance Level
$9.62
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
69.80
Wall Street Target
$10.86
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-25.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
69.8 vs 60.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.84
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$10.34
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$10.87
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→60)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 69.8, Growth: 166.1%)
$31.59
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 166.1%)
$9.86
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 166.1%)
$8.38
(-11%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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