AMPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$6.66
0.20 (3.10%)
▲
5d:
-2.63%
30d:
+2.15%
90d:
-7.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMPL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMPL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $6.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.34 to $7.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 49.2) compared to its historical average (60.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.30, while resistance sits at $7.36. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.65 (+59.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.30, while resistance sits at $7.36. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.65 (+59.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$6.34 -
$7.66
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.9% below Wall St target ($10.65)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.34 -
$7.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.30
Resistance Level
$7.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.19
Wall Street Target
$10.65
(+59.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-25.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
49.2 vs 60.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.23
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$5.83
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$5.46
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→60)
$6.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 49.2, Growth: 168.1%)
$22.48
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 168.1%)
$9.95
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 168.1%)
$8.46
(+27%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 49.2 to 60.1
Stabilization Target:
$8.14
(+22.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Spenser Skates
SELL
100 shares
2025-12-26
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