Is AMPL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, AMPL is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of AMPL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AMPL to be between $12.89 and $14.00. The current price is $14.52.

What is the analyst price target for AMPL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AMPL is $14.55. This implies a potential upside of 0.2% from current levels.

Amplitude (AMPL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$14.52

0.22 (1.54%) ▲

5d: +9.17%

30d: +9.26%

90d: +62.96%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $14.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.89 to $14.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 84.0) compared to its historical average (64.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: AMPL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $12.89 - $14.00

Company Quality Score 36/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 22.9%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.55)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.4% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.89 - $14.00

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.66

Resistance Level $14.68

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 84.03

Wall Street Target $14.55 (+0.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.2%

Profit Margin -26.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +9.4% premium

PE vs Historical 84.0 vs 64.1 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +9.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $15.88 (+9%)

2-Year Target $17.38 (+20%)

3-Year Target $19.01 (+31%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 84→64) PE COMPRESSION $14.50 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 84.0, Growth: 135.4%) $49.01 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 135.4%) $11.90 (-18%)

Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 135.4%) $10.11 (-30%)

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Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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