AMPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$13.29
0.36 (2.78%)
▲
5d:
+2.0%
30d:
+65.09%
90d:
+103.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $13.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.77 to $12.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 76.9) compared to its historical average (61.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMPL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMPL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.77 -
$12.25
Company Quality Score
24/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.77)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.5% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 24/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.77 -
$12.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.05
Resistance Level
$13.58
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
76.91
Wall Street Target
$13.77
(+3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
-26.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
76.9 vs 61.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.29
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$15.36
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$16.51
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 77→62)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 76.9, Growth: 135.4%)
$44.85
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 135.4%)
$11.70
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 135.4%)
$9.95
(-25%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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