AMPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$8.11
-0.23 (-2.76%)
▼
5d:
+17.88%
30d:
+0.87%
90d:
+5.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $8.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.21 to $7.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 61.6) is in line with its historical norms (60.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.22, while resistance sits at $8.87.
Market Sentiment: AMPL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.65 (+27.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.22, while resistance sits at $8.87.
Market Sentiment: AMPL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.65 (+27.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.21 -
$7.77
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.7% below Wall St target ($10.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.21 -
$7.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.23
Resistance Level
$8.87
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
61.60
Wall Street Target
$10.65
(+27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-25.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
61.6 vs 60.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.37
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$8.41
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$8.44
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 62→61)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.35
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 61.6, Growth: 168.1%)
$28.15
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 168.1%)
$10.01
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 168.1%)
$8.51
(+2%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 4:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
100 shares
2025-12-26
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SELL
42743 shares
2025-12-24
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10000 shares
2025-12-15
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