AMPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.52
0.64 (7.21%)
▲
5d:
+9.8%
30d:
+7.69%
90d:
+22.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMPL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $9.52, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.03 to $9.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 66.2) is in line with its historical norms (60.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.51, while resistance sits at $10.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.36 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.51, while resistance sits at $10.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.36 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.03 -
$9.58
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($11.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.03 -
$9.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.52
Resistance Level
$10.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
66.22
Wall Street Target
$11.36
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-25.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
66.2 vs 60.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.14
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$9.40
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$9.68
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 66→61)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 66.2, Growth: 166.1%)
$29.97
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 166.1%)
$9.38
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 166.1%)
$7.97
(-10%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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