Amplitude (AMPL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.59
0.13 (1.04%)
â˛
5d:
-7.08%
30d:
+1.7%
90d:
+82.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 2, 2026 at $13.29 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMPL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMPL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $12.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.38 to $13.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 72.9) compared to its historical average (63.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.95, while resistance sits at $14.76.
Market Sentiment: AMPL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.95, while resistance sits at $14.76.
Market Sentiment: AMPL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.38 -
$13.78
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMPL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.77)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.38 -
$13.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.95
Resistance Level
$14.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
72.86
Wall Street Target
$13.77
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
-26.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
72.9 vs 63.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.22
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$13.88
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$14.57
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 73â63)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 72.9, Growth: 135.4%)
$42.49
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 135.4%)
$11.76
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 135.4%)
$10.00
(-21%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AMPL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMPL price and gamma walls.
