AMPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$8.84
0.29 (3.39%)
▲
5d:
+30.77%
30d:
+6.0%
90d:
+30.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AMPL is 10.5% above its trading range ($8.00). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AMPL is 10.5% above its trading range ($8.00). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $8.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.60 to $8.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 65.9) compared to its historical average (59.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.30, while resistance sits at $9.18. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.59 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.30, while resistance sits at $9.18. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.59 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.60 -
$8.00
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.59)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.60 -
$8.00
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.30
Resistance Level
$9.18
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
65.92
Wall Street Target
$10.59
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-25.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
65.9 vs 59.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.13
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$9.43
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$9.74
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 66→60)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 65.9, Growth: 166.1%)
$29.83
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 166.1%)
$9.86
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 166.1%)
$8.38
(-5%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 02, 2026 10:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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