AMPL Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE Best Software Stocks 2026 →

Amplitude (AMPL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$17.21
+0.38 (+2.26%) ▲
5d: +0.12% 30d: +10.25% 90d: +29.4%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (42%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$15.33 – $17.19
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
102.6x STRETCHED
vs 67.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$21.27
+23.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.62 / $18.85
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: AMPL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 14.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $17.36 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 3.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $17.21, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.33 to $17.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 102.6) compared to its historical average (67.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.62, while resistance sits at $18.85.

Market Sentiment: AMPL scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.27 (+23.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $15.33 - $17.19
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.9%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $15.33 - $17.19
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $15.62
Resistance Level $18.85
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.6% below Wall St target ($21.27)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.9% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 102.62
Wall Street Target $21.27 (+23.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.9%
Profit Margin -25.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +14.9% premium
PE vs Historical 102.6 vs 67.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +14.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.77 (+15%)
2-Year Target $22.72 (+32%)
3-Year Target $26.11 (+52%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 103→68) PE COMPRESSION $17.20 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 102.6, Growth: 106.3%) $58.08 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 106.3%) $11.24 (-35%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 106.3%) $9.55 (-45%)
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMPL)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: One bullish trader on StockTwits expresses continued confidence in buying $AMPL at every market dip.
Key Retail Themes: Buy-and-hold strategy Long-term growth potential
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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