WDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$138.34
0.46 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
+6.19%
30d:
-3.77%
90d:
+16.09%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WDAY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 248% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WDAY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 248% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$269.73
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$167.48
17.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $138.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.62 to $144.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 248.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $121.71, while resistance sits at $158.64.
Market Sentiment: WDAY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.59 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $121.71, while resistance sits at $158.64.
Market Sentiment: WDAY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.59 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$120.62 -
$144.34
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($170.59)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$120.62 -
$144.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$121.71
Resistance Level
$158.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.90
Wall Street Target
$170.59
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
248.0%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.15
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$124.33
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$117.86
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$137.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.7%)
$380.93
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 17.7%)
$225.62
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 17.7%)
$191.78
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$303.34
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.4
Base Case
$275.76
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.9
Bear Case
$93.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$161.93
(+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 10, 2026 8:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark S Garfield
SELL
1585 shares
2026-04-10
David A Duffield
SELL
107500 shares
2026-04-09
Gerrit S Kazmaier
SELL
9356 shares
2026-04-07
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WDAY price and gamma walls.
