Workday (WDAY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$185.70
0.61 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
-10.26%
30d:
+5.94%
90d:
+42.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 1, 2026 at $198.96 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WDAY is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WDAY is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$273.30
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$169.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $185.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $178.53 to $201.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (15.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $183.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WDAY scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $207.10 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $183.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WDAY scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $207.10 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$178.53 -
$201.16
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WDAY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($207.10)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$178.53 -
$201.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$183.54
Resistance Level
$211.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.32
Wall Street Target
$207.10
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
206.0%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$193.31
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$201.24
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$209.49
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$185.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.7%)
$352.77
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 17.7%)
$302.86
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 17.7%)
$257.43
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.91
Bull Case
$407.20
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.5
Base Case
$370.18
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.7
Bear Case
$125.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark S Garfield
SELL
1585 shares
2026-04-10
David A Duffield
SELL
107500 shares
2026-04-09
Gerrit S Kazmaier
SELL
9356 shares
2026-04-07
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Advanced WDAY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WDAY price and gamma walls.
