WDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$145.66
6.71 (4.83%)
▲
5d:
+5.56%
30d:
+5.96%
90d:
+29.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WDAY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.0% annual earnings decline despite 248% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WDAY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.0% annual earnings decline despite 248% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$269.73
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$167.48
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $145.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $121.00 to $144.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 248.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $121.71, while resistance sits at $158.64. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: WDAY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.59 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $121.71, while resistance sits at $158.64. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: WDAY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.59 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$121.00 -
$144.42
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($170.59)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$121.00 -
$144.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$121.71
Resistance Level
$158.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.96
Wall Street Target
$170.59
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
248.0%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.00
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$125.40
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$119.13
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$138.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.7%)
$380.93
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 17.7%)
$226.62
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 17.7%)
$192.62
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.21
Bull Case
$304.35
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.4
Base Case
$276.68
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.1
Bear Case
$94.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$161.93
(+16.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark S Garfield
SELL
1585 shares
2026-04-10
David A Duffield
SELL
107500 shares
2026-04-09
Gerrit S Kazmaier
SELL
9356 shares
2026-04-07
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WDAY price and gamma walls.
