Workday (WDAY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$186.75
-3.71 (-1.95%)
▼
5d:
-2.22%
30d:
-5.86%
90d:
+37.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WDAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WDAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$276.88
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$171.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $186.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $187.15 to $198.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $181.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WDAY scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $208.26 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $181.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WDAY scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $208.26 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$187.15 -
$198.48
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WDAY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($208.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$187.15 -
$198.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$181.47
Resistance Level
$199.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.41
Wall Street Target
$208.26
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
206.0%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$194.03
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$201.60
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$209.46
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$186.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 17.7%)
$356.79
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 17.7%)
$304.57
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 17.7%)
$258.89
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.87
Bull Case
$419.01
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$380.92
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$129.51
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark S Garfield
SELL
1585 shares
2026-04-10
David A Duffield
SELL
107500 shares
2026-04-09
Gerrit S Kazmaier
SELL
9356 shares
2026-04-07
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