Is WDAY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, WDAY is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WDAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of WDAY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for WDAY to be between $186.10 and $195.80. The current price is $202.96.

What is the analyst price target for WDAY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for WDAY is $207.92. This implies a potential upside of 2.4% from current levels.

Workday (WDAY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

$202.96

-1.02 (-0.50%) ▼

5d: +7.52%

30d: +7.83%

90d: +58.72%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 24, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 5, 2026 at $188.96 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WDAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 17.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$280.45

Based on 10.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$174.14

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $202.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.10 to $195.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $206.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: WDAY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $186.10 - $195.80

Company Quality Score 32/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 23.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($207.92)
NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.5% growth expectation is conservative given 206% recent growth
WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $186.10 - $195.80

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $183.67

Resistance Level $206.03

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.93

Wall Street Target $207.92 (+2.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 206.0%

Profit Margin 12.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +6.5% premium

PE vs Historical 18.9 vs 15.7 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +6.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $216.15 (+7%)

2-Year Target $230.20 (+13%)

3-Year Target $245.17 (+21%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→16) PE COMPRESSION $203.38 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.7%) $347.35 (+71%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 17.7%) $331.01 (+63%)

Bear: (PE: 15.7, Growth: 17.7%) $274.59 (+35%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 41.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.91

Bull Case $448.76 (+121%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 45.7

Base Case $407.96 (+101%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.5

Bear Case $138.71 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced WDAY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WDAY price and gamma walls.

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