AMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMR - Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
$166.68
-8.41 (-4.80%)
▼
5d:
-12.41%
30d:
-3.23%
90d:
-16.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
Get Alerted When AMR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMR is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMR is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$430.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$267.23
37.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMR is currently trading at $166.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $178.58 to $207.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.1) compared to its historical average (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $166.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (12th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.50 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $166.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (12th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.50 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$178.58 -
$207.83
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
12th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 12th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($194.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$178.58 -
$207.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.30
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$166.10
Resistance Level
$203.61
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.11
Wall Street Target
$194.50
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.6%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 8.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$151.68
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$138.03
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$125.61
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$166.55
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 327.7%)
$2005.65
(+1103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 327.7%)
$562.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 327.7%)
$478.16
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$221.01
(+32.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Kenneth S Courtis
BUY
8000 shares
2026-03-12
Kenneth S Courtis
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Kenneth S Courtis
BUY
15000 shares
2026-03-10
Top Rated Coking Coal Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Coking Coal by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HCC
Warrior Met Coal Inc |
HOLD
7 analysts |
$106 | 43 HOLD |
Advanced AMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMR price and gamma walls.
