AMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMR - Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
$210.01
15.71 (8.09%)
▲
5d:
+26.47%
30d:
+46.64%
90d:
+21.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AMR is 21.8% above its trading range ($172.43). Market expects 14.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AMR is 21.8% above its trading range ($172.43). Market expects 14.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.43
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMR is currently trading at $210.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.55 to $172.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $211.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $168.33. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $211.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $168.33. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$136.55 -
$172.43
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.5%
Protect Your Profits
AMR is technically overbought (RSI 82). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+21.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 19.8% above Wall St target ($168.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.8% growth with -10.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.55 -
$172.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$16.41
(7.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.30
Resistance Level
$211.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.50
Wall Street Target
$168.33
(-19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.6%
Profit Margin
-2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 7.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$241.09
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$276.77
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$317.74
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$209.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Kenneth S Courtis
BUY
8000 shares
2026-03-12
Kenneth S Courtis
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Kenneth S Courtis
BUY
15000 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced AMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMR price and gamma walls.
