AMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMR - Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
$209.41
-8.32 (-3.82%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.58%
30d:
+31.28%
90d:
+10.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 13.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 13.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$202.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$125.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMR is currently trading at $209.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $161.76 to $226.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $206.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (12th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $180.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $206.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (12th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $180.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$161.76 -
$226.57
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
12th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 12th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading 14.0% above Wall St target ($180.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.1% growth with -10.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$161.76 -
$226.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$17.87
(8.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$206.80
Resistance Level
$242.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.47
Wall Street Target
$180.00
(-14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.6%
Profit Margin
-2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 7.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$236.84
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$267.87
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$302.96
(+45%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$208.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMR price and gamma walls.
