AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING
AMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$155.41
-1.57 (-1.00%)
▼
5d:
+8.47%
30d:
-10.94%
90d:
-6.41%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$153.31 – $174.12
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.2x
STRETCHED
vs 8.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$171.00
+8.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
10th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$140.84 / $162.95
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $155.68 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$175.46
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMR is currently trading at $155.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.31 to $174.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $140.84, while resistance sits at $162.95.
Market Sentiment: AMR scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $140.84, while resistance sits at $162.95.
Market Sentiment: AMR scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$153.31 -
$174.12
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
10th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$153.31 -
$174.12
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$12.70
(8.2%)
Support Level
$140.84
Resistance Level
$162.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($171.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.6% growth with 6.7% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 80/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.15
Wall Street Target
$171.00
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.6%
Profit Margin
-2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 8.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.91
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$181.75
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$195.56
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$156.00
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMR)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 22, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on $AMR as one trader on StockTwits identifies a potential head and shoulders pattern, with no recent positive news articles to counteract this bearishness.
Key Retail Themes:
Bearish technical analysis
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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