AMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMR - Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
$171.54
1.25 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
-1.66%
30d:
-26.47%
90d:
+8.89%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: AMR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$207.22
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMR is currently trading at $171.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.43 to $223.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $163.91, while resistance sits at $189.99.
Market Sentiment: AMR scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $163.91, while resistance sits at $189.99.
Market Sentiment: AMR scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$175.43 -
$223.66
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (88/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($180.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.2% growth with -10.4% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 35% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.43 -
$223.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.24
(8.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$163.92
Resistance Level
$189.99
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.40
Wall Street Target
$180.00
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.6%
Profit Margin
-2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 8.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$180.46
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$189.84
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$199.72
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$172.18
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMR price and gamma walls.
