AOS
A.O. Smith Corporation
HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES
A.O. Smith (AOS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$64.24
+0.26 (+0.41%)
▲
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
+8.02%
90d:
+4.63%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect AOS Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$57.60 – $64.41
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.0x
FAIR
vs 15.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$66.50
+3.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$63.14 / $68.12
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AOS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.64
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AOS is currently trading at $64.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.60 to $64.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $63.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AOS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $63.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AOS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$57.60 -
$64.41
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$57.60 -
$64.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$63.14
Resistance Level
$68.12
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AOS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.4% growth with -0.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.99
Wall Street Target
$66.50
(+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.42
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$68.68
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$71.02
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.36
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.5%)
$98.71
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$84.45
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 9.5%)
$71.79
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.55
Bull Case
$74.95
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.5%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$68.13
(+6%)
Market implied 6.5%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$43.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AOS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A.O. Smith reported Q3 earnings of $0.93 per share, beating estimates by 3.3%. Net sales of $940.5 million missed expectations but rose 3% in North America, driven by boiler sales growth and pricing benefits.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
boiler sales growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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