AOSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AOSL - Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$30.24
1.40 (4.85%) ▲
5d: +8.27%
30d: +22.83%
90d: -20.92%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AOSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AOSL is currently trading at $30.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.53 to $27.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -63.0) compared to its historical average (87.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AOSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: AOSL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.75 (+44.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $24.53 - $27.70
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 35th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 36.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.2% above its trading range)
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 35th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.7% below Wall St target ($43.75)
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.53 - $27.70
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.61 (11.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.32
Resistance Level $30.89
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -63.00
Wall Street Target $43.75 (+44.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -98.4%
Profit Margin -6.2%
PE vs Historical -63.0 vs 87.4 CHEAP
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Chunping Chang SELL 14884 shares 2026-04-17
Yifan Liang SELL 8625 shares 2026-04-17
Bing Xue SELL 1832 shares 2026-04-16

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Advanced AOSL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AOSL price and gamma walls.

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