APA (APA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$45.12
+0.57 (+1.28%)
▲
5d:
-5.55%
30d:
-3.67%
90d:
+12.88%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect APA Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$44.69 – $50.51
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.3x
CHEAP
vs 10.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$49.65
+10.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$42.89 / $52.96
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: APA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 4, 2026 at $44.49 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.51
Based on -8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APA is currently trading at $45.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.69 to $50.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 250.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.89, while resistance sits at $52.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.89, while resistance sits at $52.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$44.69 -
$50.51
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$44.69 -
$50.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$42.89
Resistance Level
$52.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding APA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.65)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.5%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.30
Wall Street Target
$49.65
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
250.9%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 10.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.32
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$39.70
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$37.24
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$45.33
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -20.9%)
$78.74
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: -20.9%)
$32.89
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -20.9%)
$27.96
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.15
Bull Case
$43.34
(-4%)
Analyst growth -11.6%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$39.40
(-13%)
Market implied -11.6%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$30.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$54.93
(+21.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (APA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest article from Yahoo Finance highlights five non-tech Nasdaq stocks, including APA Corp, that are expected to enhance portfolio returns in Q4. The article discusses APA's favorable setup, stronger capital efficiency, cost savings, and visible long-term growth.
Key Retail Themes:
APA's favorable setup
Stronger capital efficiency, cost savings, and long-term growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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