APA (APA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APA - APA Corporation Common Stock
$43.34
1.80 (4.33%)
â˛
5d:
-0.78%
30d:
-2.17%
90d:
+33.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When APA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.46
Based on -11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APA is currently trading at $43.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.20 to $44.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.23, while resistance sits at $45.47. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: APA scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.23, while resistance sits at $45.47. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: APA scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$42.20 -
$44.97
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.20 -
$44.97
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.23
Resistance Level
$45.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.62
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Profit Margin
19.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.56
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$41.79
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$41.04
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
$43.08
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -27.4%)
$66.99
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: -27.4%)
$31.59
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -27.4%)
$26.86
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.74
Bull Case
$43.42
(+0%)
Analyst growth -5.0%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$39.48
(-9%)
Market implied -5.0%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$28.25
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$45.50
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 11:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is APA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$235 | 57 HOLD |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$126 | 59 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$60 | 59 HOLD |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips |
BUY
27 analysts |
$146 | 63 BUY |
Advanced APA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APA price and gamma walls.
