APPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APPS - Digital Turbine, Inc.

PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS
$9.95
-0.61 (-5.78%) β–Ό
5d: -11.0%
30d: -2.64%
90d: +252.84%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 20d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: APPS is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.03
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APPS is currently trading at $9.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.07 to $11.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 19.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APPS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.75. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $9.07 - $11.67
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.4%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.1% above Wall St target ($8.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 19.8% growth with 19.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.07 - $11.67
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.85
Resistance Level $13.60
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.92
Wall Street Target $8.75 (-12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -42.9%
Profit Margin -6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +19.8% premium
PE vs Historical 15.9 vs 9.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +19.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.92 (+20%)
2-Year Target $14.28 (+44%)
3-Year Target $17.11 (+72%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16β†’9) PE COMPRESSION $9.99 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 58.2%) $45.94 (+362%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 58.2%) $33.58 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 9.3, Growth: 58.2%) $19.62 (+97%)
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced APPS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APPS price and gamma walls.

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