ANTERO RESOURCES (AR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AR - ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION
$34.03
0.64 (1.92%)
▲
5d:
-5.71%
30d:
-14.52%
90d:
-3.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When AR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.21
26.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AR is currently trading at $34.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.90 to $39.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $33.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.29 (+47.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $33.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.29 (+47.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.90 -
$39.21
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.8% below Wall St target ($50.29)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.90 -
$39.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.12
Resistance Level
$36.52
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.84
Wall Street Target
$50.29
(+47.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.9%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.77
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$31.56
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$30.39
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$34.13
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 82.4%)
$90.80
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 82.4%)
$34.88
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 82.4%)
$29.65
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case
$45.70
(+34%)
Analyst growth 24.4%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$41.55
(+22%)
Market implied 24.4%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$22.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$38.21
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$235 | 57 HOLD |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$126 | 59 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$60 | 59 HOLD |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips |
BUY
27 analysts |
$146 | 63 BUY |
Advanced AR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AR price and gamma walls.
