ANTERO RESOURCES (AR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$37.63
+1.27 (+3.49%)
▲
5d:
-5.76%
30d:
+2.93%
90d:
+0.4%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect AR Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$35.76 – $40.43
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.2x
FAIR
vs 8.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$50.77
+34.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$35.79 / $42.75
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: AR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $36.75 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.89
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AR is currently trading at $37.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.76 to $40.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 395.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.79, while resistance sits at $42.75. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AR scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.77 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.79, while resistance sits at $42.75. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AR scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.77 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$35.76 -
$40.43
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$35.76 -
$40.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$35.79
Resistance Level
$42.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.9% below Wall St target ($50.77)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.8%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.22
Wall Street Target
$50.77
(+34.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
395.8%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.88
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$36.14
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$35.42
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$37.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.3%)
$118.76
(+216%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 9.3%)
$49.17
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 9.3%)
$41.80
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.43
Bull Case
$41.32
(+10%)
Analyst growth 3.3%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$37.56
(0%)
Market implied 3.3%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$24.72
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$39.82
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share AR Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AR)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment towards $AR, predicting a rebound before close, citing an energy investigations headline as the catalyst.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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