ANTERO RESOURCES (AR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AR - ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION
$38.51
-0.32 (-0.82%)
▼
5d:
+5.13%
30d:
+11.88%
90d:
+9.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When AR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.85
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AR is currently trading at $38.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.30 to $37.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AR scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.64 (+28.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AR scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.64 (+28.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.30 -
$37.67
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.9% below Wall St target ($49.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.30 -
$37.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.70
Resistance Level
$39.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.21
Wall Street Target
$49.64
(+28.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.9%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.70
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$36.91
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$36.13
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$38.31
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.8%)
$110.30
(+186%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 5.8%)
$45.57
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 5.8%)
$38.74
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.48
Bull Case
$57.60
(+50%)
Analyst growth 34.9%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$52.36
(+36%)
Market implied 34.9%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$26.40
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$40.83
(+6.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$61 | 45 HOLD |
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$237 | 40 SELL |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$123 | 42 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
|
EQT
EQT Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$67 | 37 SELL |
Advanced AR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AR price and gamma walls.
