ARCB ArcBest Corporation TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)

ArcBest (ARCB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$135.91
+2.06 (+1.54%) ▲
5d: -2.43% 30d: +4.26% 90d: -7.38%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (51%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$127.15 – $133.49
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.0x FAIR
vs 15.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$167.15
+23.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$123.52 / $145.83
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ARCB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.91
24.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $135.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.15 to $133.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $123.52, while resistance sits at $145.83.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.15 (+23.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $127.15 - $133.49
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $127.15 - $133.49
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $123.52
Resistance Level $145.83
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.0% below Wall St target ($167.15)
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.96
Wall Street Target $167.15 (+23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.7%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 15.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $132.24 (-3%)
2-Year Target $128.67 (-5%)
3-Year Target $125.20 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→15) $136.30 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.0%) $444.49 (+227%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 32.0%) $312.47 (+130%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 32.0%) $265.60 (+95%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.62
Bull Case $164.11 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case $135.91 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case $103.97 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 15.2
Stabilization Target: $147.97 (+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ARCB)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The latest Yahoo Finance news article highlights ArcBest (ARCB) as a Transportation stock that has outperformed its sector this year, returning 91.9% compared to an average of 16.2% for stocks in the Transportation group. The article also mentions JB Hunt (JBHT) as another outperforming stock in the sector, with a return of 42.9% year-to-date.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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