ArcBest (ARCB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$130.30
-0.51 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
-2.08%
30d:
-0.6%
90d:
-15.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARCB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARCB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$284.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$176.89
26.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $130.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.69 to $132.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $126.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ARCB scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.85 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $126.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ARCB scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.85 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$127.69 -
$132.17
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($166.85)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.69 -
$132.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.84
Resistance Level
$134.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.63
Wall Street Target
$166.85
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 15.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$125.48
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$120.84
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$116.37
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$130.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 35.8%)
$475.31
(+265%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 35.8%)
$326.15
(+150%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 35.8%)
$277.22
(+113%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.72 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.50
Bull Case
$157.34
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$130.30
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$99.68
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$146.29
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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