ARCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$149.50
2.37 (1.61%)
▲
5d:
+5.01%
30d:
-9.48%
90d:
+37.81%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$272.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$169.26
11.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $149.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.39 to $162.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $152.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $152.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$141.39 -
$162.62
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($164.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$141.39 -
$162.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.39
Resistance Level
$152.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.66
Wall Street Target
$164.08
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$152.79
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$156.15
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$159.59
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$149.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.9%)
$546.43
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 40.9%)
$418.00
(+180%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 40.9%)
$355.30
(+138%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.10
Bull Case
$180.52
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$149.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$114.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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