ArcBest (ARCB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$134.86
-0.11 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
-1.81%
30d:
-4.1%
90d:
-21.9%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ARCB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ARCB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.92
24.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $134.86, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $134.82 to $141.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.79, while resistance sits at $142.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.92 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.79, while resistance sits at $142.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.92 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$134.82 -
$141.82
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($170.92)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$134.82 -
$141.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.80
Resistance Level
$142.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.13
Wall Street Target
$170.92
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.68
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$126.63
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$122.70
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$134.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 38.4%)
$510.40
(+279%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 38.4%)
$357.48
(+165%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 38.4%)
$303.86
(+125%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.32
Bull Case
$162.84
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$134.86
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$103.17
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$147.97
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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