ARCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$144.35
2.28 (1.61%)
▲
5d:
-6.45%
30d:
+3.24%
90d:
+13.15%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ARCB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ARCB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.32
19.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $144.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.46 to $155.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $135.98, while resistance sits at $161.84.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.00 (+18.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $135.98, while resistance sits at $161.84.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.00 (+18.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$142.46 -
$155.12
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($171.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$142.46 -
$155.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$135.98
Resistance Level
$161.84
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.28
Wall Street Target
$171.00
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$143.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$141.76
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$140.49
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$144.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 37.5%)
$508.69
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 37.5%)
$374.99
(+160%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 37.5%)
$318.74
(+121%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.20 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.15
Bull Case
$174.30
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$144.35
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$110.43
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$148.31
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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