ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)
ArcBest (ARCB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$135.91
+2.06 (+1.54%)
▲
5d:
-2.43%
30d:
+4.26%
90d:
-7.38%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (51%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$127.15 – $133.49
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.0x
FAIR
vs 15.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$167.15
+23.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$123.52 / $145.83
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ARCB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.91
24.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $135.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.15 to $133.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $123.52, while resistance sits at $145.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.15 (+23.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $123.52, while resistance sits at $145.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.15 (+23.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$127.15 -
$133.49
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$127.15 -
$133.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$123.52
Resistance Level
$145.83
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.0% below Wall St target ($167.15)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.96
Wall Street Target
$167.15
(+23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.24
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$128.67
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$125.20
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$136.30
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.0%)
$444.49
(+227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 32.0%)
$312.47
(+130%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 32.0%)
$265.60
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.62
Bull Case
$164.11
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$135.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$103.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 15.2
Stabilization Target:
$147.97
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ARCB)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest Yahoo Finance news article highlights ArcBest (ARCB) as a Transportation stock that has outperformed its sector this year, returning 91.9% compared to an average of 16.2% for stocks in the Transportation group. The article also mentions JB Hunt (JBHT) as another outperforming stock in the sector, with a return of 42.9% year-to-date.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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