ArcBest (ARCB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$132.61
3.00 (2.31%)
â˛
5d:
+5.95%
30d:
-0.99%
90d:
-6.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ARCB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ARCB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$286.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$177.76
25.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $132.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.95 to $137.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $124.06, while resistance sits at $136.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.92 (+28.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $124.06, while resistance sits at $136.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.92 (+28.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$128.95 -
$137.31
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.9% below Wall St target ($170.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$128.95 -
$137.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.06
Resistance Level
$136.63
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.89
Wall Street Target
$170.92
(+28.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.23
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$124.00
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$119.91
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â15)
$132.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 38.4%)
$516.22
(+289%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 38.4%)
$351.52
(+165%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 38.4%)
$298.79
(+125%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 13.72 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.67
Bull Case
$160.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$132.61
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$101.45
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$147.01
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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