ARCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$140.34
4.45 (3.27%)
▲
5d:
-1.78%
30d:
-10.61%
90d:
+12.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.06
21.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $140.34, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.52 to $153.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $134.14, while resistance sits at $148.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARCB scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.77 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $134.14, while resistance sits at $148.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARCB scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.77 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$137.52 -
$153.87
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($170.77)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 77/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$137.52 -
$153.87
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$134.14
Resistance Level
$148.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.78
Wall Street Target
$170.77
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.81
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$135.33
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$132.90
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$140.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 39.3%)
$515.52
(+267%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 39.3%)
$379.74
(+171%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 39.3%)
$322.78
(+130%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.88
Bull Case
$169.46
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$140.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$107.36
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$148.09
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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