Archrock (AROC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$28.39
-1.38 (-4.64%)
▼
5d:
-2.94%
30d:
-7.94%
90d:
-21.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AROC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AROC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.54
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.49
17.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $28.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.61 to $30.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AROC scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.38 (+49.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AROC scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.38 (+49.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.61 -
$30.91
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.3% below Wall St target ($42.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.61 -
$30.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.95
Resistance Level
$30.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.05
Wall Street Target
$42.38
(+49.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.14
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$25.95
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$24.80
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$28.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.0%)
$72.73
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 19.0%)
$47.79
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 19.0%)
$40.62
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$38.30
(+35%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$34.82
(+23%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$20.24
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$32.41
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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