Archrock (AROC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$30.33
-0.09 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
-0.33%
30d:
-6.1%
90d:
-16.97%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AROC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AROC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.32
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.59
14.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $30.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.38 to $32.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AROC scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+40.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AROC scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+40.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.38 -
$32.25
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($42.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.38 -
$32.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.75
Resistance Level
$31.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.84
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.54
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$28.77
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$28.03
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$30.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 19.8%)
$76.96
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$52.21
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$44.38
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$39.43
(+30%)
Analyst growth 17.8%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$35.84
(+18%)
Market implied 17.8%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$20.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$32.87
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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