AROC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$31.80
-0.48 (-1.49%)
▼
5d:
-8.33%
30d:
-17.17%
90d:
-13.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AROC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AROC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.33
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.46
15.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $31.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.23 to $37.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.62 (+34.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.62 (+34.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.23 -
$37.27
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($42.62)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.23 -
$37.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.19
Resistance Level
$34.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.15
Wall Street Target
$42.63
(+34.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.10
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$30.42
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$29.75
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$31.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.7%)
$79.41
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 20.7%)
$55.99
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 20.7%)
$47.59
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$42.91
(+35%)
Analyst growth 20.8%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$39.00
(+23%)
Market implied 20.8%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$21.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$33.94
(+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Doug S Aron
SELL
98050 shares
2026-03-30
Doug S Aron
SELL
71500 shares
2026-03-27
Donna A Henderson
SELL
10413 shares
2026-03-04
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