AROC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$38.10
-0.43 (-1.12%)
▼
5d:
+4.3%
30d:
+6.75%
90d:
+5.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AROC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AROC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.18
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.23
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $38.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.49 to $39.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.32, while resistance sits at $42.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.33 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.32, while resistance sits at $42.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.33 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$35.49 -
$39.67
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.49 -
$39.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.32
Resistance Level
$42.21
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.88
Wall Street Target
$42.33
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.71
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$39.33
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$39.96
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$89.82
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 19.8%)
$65.48
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 19.8%)
$55.65
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$55.28
(+45%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$50.25
(+32%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$26.20
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Doug S Aron
SELL
98050 shares
2026-03-30
Doug S Aron
SELL
71500 shares
2026-03-27
Donna A Henderson
SELL
10413 shares
2026-03-04
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