AROC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$35.76
0.34 (0.96%)
▲
5d:
-1.05%
30d:
-7.74%
90d:
-7.72%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AROC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AROC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.60
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.49
9.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $35.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.44 to $39.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.34, while resistance sits at $39.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.88 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.34, while resistance sits at $39.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.88 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.44 -
$39.82
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.44 -
$39.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.35
Resistance Level
$39.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.90
Wall Street Target
$42.88
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.55
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.33
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$35.12
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$35.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 19.8%)
$85.49
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 19.8%)
$61.45
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 19.8%)
$52.24
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$50.27
(+41%)
Analyst growth 29.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$45.70
(+28%)
Market implied 29.0%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$24.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 15.2
Stabilization Target:
$36.48
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Doug S Aron
SELL
98050 shares
2026-03-30
Doug S Aron
SELL
71500 shares
2026-03-27
Donna A Henderson
SELL
10413 shares
2026-03-04
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