AROC
Archrock Inc
NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION
Archrock (AROC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$26.65
-1.23 (-4.41%)
▼
5d:
-6.85%
30d:
-13.14%
90d:
-20.07%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$28.31 – $31.15
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.3x
CHEAP
vs 14.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$42.38
+59.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$26.49 / $32.40
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AROC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.50
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.84
21.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $26.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.31 to $31.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.38 (+59.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.38 (+59.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.31 -
$31.15
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$28.31 -
$31.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$26.49
Resistance Level
$32.40
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.0% below Wall St target ($42.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.27
Wall Street Target
$42.38
(+59.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
22.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 14.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.00
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$23.45
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$21.99
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$26.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.5%)
$71.78
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 18.5%)
$44.33
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 18.5%)
$37.68
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.94
Bull Case
$34.34
(+29%)
Analyst growth 12.0%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$31.22
(+17%)
Market implied 12.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$18.96
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$32.15
(+20.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AROC)
Bearish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages suggest bullish sentiment towards $AROC with mentions of $RIG and other energy companies. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Energy sector
Bullish sentiment towards $AROC
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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