Archrock (AROC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$32.77
0.41 (1.27%)
â˛
5d:
+0.64%
30d:
-1.53%
90d:
-9.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AROC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AROC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.53
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.72
8.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $32.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.60 to $34.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.01, while resistance sits at $33.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.01, while resistance sits at $33.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.60 -
$34.08
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($42.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.60 -
$34.08
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.01
Resistance Level
$33.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.97
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.70
(0%)
2-Year Target
$32.64
(0%)
3-Year Target
$32.57
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â15)
$32.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.7%)
$75.74
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 19.7%)
$56.20
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 19.7%)
$47.77
(+46%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$42.59
(+30%)
Analyst growth 19.7%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$38.72
(+18%)
Market implied 19.7%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$22.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$33.06
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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98050 shares
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