ASM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.29
-0.11 (-2.50%)
▼
5d:
-7.74%
30d:
-17.34%
90d:
-40.42%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
67/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$4.50 – $5.31
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.9x
CHEAP
vs 11.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.20
+137.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.22 / $4.98
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: ASM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $4.61 · last confirmed Nov 12, 2026
Strength: 5.0/10
Get Alerted When ASM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.51
42.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASM is currently trading at $4.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.50 to $5.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASM scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.20 (+137.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASM scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.20 (+137.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.50 -
$5.31
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.50 -
$5.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$4.22
Resistance Level
$4.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 137.8% below Wall St target ($10.20)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.87
Wall Street Target
$10.20
(+137.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
58.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.0%
Profit Margin
33.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.86
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.47
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.13
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$4.53
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 75.8%)
$36.53
(+752%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 75.8%)
$14.48
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 75.8%)
$12.31
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.27
Bull Case
$9.68
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$8.80
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$2.99
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$6.21
(+44.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.8%
Share ASM Analysis
Share this live ASM analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader @[handle] bought $ASM at $4.28
Key Retail Themes:
buy
positive sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 1:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ASM showing a specific setup today?
Top Rated Other Precious Metals & Mining Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Other Precious Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PPTA
Perpetua Resources Corp |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$37 | 55 HOLD |
|
VOXR
Vox Royalty Corp. Common… |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$8 | 52 HOLD |
|
ITRG
Integra Resources Corp |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$6 | 43 HOLD |
|
MUX
McEwen Mining Inc. |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$31 | 41 HOLD |
|
TFPM
Triple Flag Precious Met… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$40 | 43 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive ASM Research Pages
