ASM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASM - Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
$5.74
-0.31 (-5.12%)
▼
5d:
-12.77%
30d:
+4.74%
90d:
-18.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
Get Alerted When ASM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.93
55.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASM is currently trading at $5.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.80 to $6.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 125.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.52, while resistance sits at $6.89. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.31 (+97.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.52, while resistance sits at $6.89. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.31 (+97.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.80 -
$6.60
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 97.1% below Wall St target ($11.31)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.80 -
$6.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.52
Resistance Level
$6.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.09
Wall Street Target
$11.31
(+97.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
109.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
125.7%
Profit Margin
32.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 13.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.17
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.65
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.18
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→13)
$7.79
(+36%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 68.8%)
$59.54
(+937%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 68.8%)
$19.37
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 68.8%)
$16.47
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.22
Bull Case
$13.31
(+132%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$12.10
(+111%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$4.11
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$10.69
(+86.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+86.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ASM showing a specific setup today?
Top Rated Other Precious Metals & Mining Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Other Precious Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TFPM
Triple Flag Precious Met… |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$40 | 50 HOLD |
|
ITRG
Integra Resources Corp |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$6 | 44 HOLD |
|
PPTA
Perpetua Resources Corp |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$39 | 48 HOLD |
|
MUX
McEwen Mining Inc. |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$32 | 47 HOLD |
|
VOXR
Vox Royalty Corp. Common… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$8 | 43 HOLD |
