ASM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASM - Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
$5.53
0.20 (3.75%)
▲
5d:
-2.81%
30d:
-15.83%
90d:
-15.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
7d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.34
55.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASM is currently trading at $5.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.52 to $6.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 125.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.15, while resistance sits at $6.51. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.32 (+86.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.15, while resistance sits at $6.51. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.32 (+86.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.52 -
$6.25
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 86.7% below Wall St target ($10.32)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.52 -
$6.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.15
Resistance Level
$6.52
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.83
Wall Street Target
$10.33
(+86.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
109.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
125.7%
Profit Margin
32.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.98
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.48
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.03
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→13)
$7.44
(+35%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 62.0%)
$56.67
(+925%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 62.0%)
$18.66
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 62.0%)
$15.86
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.22
Bull Case
$11.73
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$10.66
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$3.62
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$10.21
(+84.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+84.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASM showing a specific setup today?
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