ASTE
Astec Industries Inc
CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP
Astec Industries (ASTE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$37.06
+0.11 (+0.30%)
▲
5d:
-5.7%
30d:
-8.34%
90d:
-12.47%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect ASTE Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (87%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$37.46 – $40.25
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.4x
CHEAP
vs 12.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$67.25
+82.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
42th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$35.05 / $41.28
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASTE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.30
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.45
33.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASTE is currently trading at $37.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.46 to $40.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.05, while resistance sits at $41.28.
Market Sentiment: ASTE scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.25 (+82.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.05, while resistance sits at $41.28.
Market Sentiment: ASTE scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.25 (+82.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.46 -
$40.25
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
42th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$37.46 -
$40.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.14
(8.5%)
Support Level
$35.05
Resistance Level
$41.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASTE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 42th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 82.0% below Wall St target ($67.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.40
Wall Street Target
$67.25
(+82.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$30.20
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$27.30
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$36.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.0%)
$138.33
(+274%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 21.0%)
$65.49
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 21.0%)
$55.66
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 8.80 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.20
Bull Case
$44.62
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$36.95
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$28.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$49.91
(+35.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASTE)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Astec Industries ($ASTE) has seen a 14.3% return over the past week and a 63.9% surge over the past year, with a current valuation score of 3/6. The latest article from Yahoo Finance analyzes the company's valuation using a Discounted Cash Flow model, which suggests the shares trade at a 7.8% discount to fair value.
Key Retail Themes:
Astec Industries' share price performance
Valuation analysis using Discounted Cash Flow model
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASTE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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