Astec Industries (ASTE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASTE - Astec Industries Inc
$38.84
-0.72 (-1.82%)
▼
5d:
-0.21%
30d:
-6.14%
90d:
-31.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASTE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASTE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.26
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.28
32.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASTE is currently trading at $38.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.20 to $41.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.25 (+70.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.25 (+70.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$39.20 -
$41.48
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASTE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.0% below Wall St target ($67.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.20 -
$41.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.39
(8.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.06
Resistance Level
$40.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.94
Wall Street Target
$67.25
(+70.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.24
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$33.19
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$30.40
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$39.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.2%)
$140.90
(+256%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 21.2%)
$70.52
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 21.2%)
$59.94
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$86.37
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.8
Base Case
$78.52
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.2
Bear Case
$26.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$51.34
(+29.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASTE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ASTE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASTE price and gamma walls.
