ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
Semiconductors & Related Devices
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ASE Technology (ASX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$36.29
-1.53 (-4.05%)
▼
5d:
+22.11%
30d:
-18.14%
90d:
-8.22%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$36.16 – $45.49
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.6x
CHEAP
vs 21.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$54.94
+51.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$29.58 / $41.56
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
ASX is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SOXX Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 1.9% over the next 20 trading days; ASX has been on it 3 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-12.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.39
34.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASX is currently trading at $36.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.16 to $45.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 142.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $29.58, while resistance sits at $41.55. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASX scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.94 (+51.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $29.58, while resistance sits at $41.55. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASX scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.94 (+51.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$36.16 -
$45.49
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$36.16 -
$45.49
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$29.58
Resistance Level
$41.56
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 51.4% below Wall St target ($54.94)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.64
Wall Street Target
$54.94
(+51.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
142.5%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.57
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$31.05
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$28.72
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$36.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 74.9%)
$146.22
(+303%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 74.9%)
$122.48
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 74.9%)
$104.11
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.04
Bull Case
$83.20
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.0
Base Case
$75.64
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case
$25.72
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$45.81
(+26.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASX)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Oct 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on ASX are bearish (sentiment score -0.12) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 5:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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