ATS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ATS - ATS Corporation

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC
$27.77
0.53 (1.95%) ▲
5d: +4.44%
30d: +0.33%
90d: -14.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.79
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.92
10.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ATS is currently trading at $27.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.77 to $28.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 358.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+26.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $26.77 - $28.02
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($35.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.77 - $28.02
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.65
Resistance Level $28.00
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.15
Wall Street Target $35.00 (+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 30.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 358.0%
Profit Margin 2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.2 vs 19.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $27.24 (-2%)
2-Year Target $26.72 (-4%)
3-Year Target $26.22 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→19) $27.73 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 18.5%) $52.77 (+90%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 18.5%) $46.20 (+66%)
Bear: (PE: 15.4, Growth: 18.5%) $39.27 (+41%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.34
Bull Case $33.53 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case $27.77 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case $21.24 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 19.2
Stabilization Target: $29.37 (+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.8%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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