ATS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATS - ATS Corporation
$28.85
-1.01 (-3.38%)
▼
5d:
-18.2%
30d:
-10.15%
90d:
-10.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ATS is down 18.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ATS is down 18.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.83
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.56
8.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATS is currently trading at $28.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.84 to $34.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 358.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+21.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+21.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.84 -
$34.29
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.84 -
$34.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.54
Resistance Level
$35.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.86
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
358.0%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.45
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$28.05
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$27.66
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$28.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 18.5%)
$55.77
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 18.5%)
$48.00
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 18.5%)
$40.80
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.35
Bull Case
$36.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$30.43
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$23.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.9 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$29.99
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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