ATS (ATS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATS - ATS Corporation
$18.26
0.23 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
-4.4%
30d:
-3.95%
90d:
-35.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.68
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.98
37.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATS is currently trading at $18.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.62 to $19.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 358.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ATS scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+91.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ATS scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+91.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.62 -
$19.55
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 91.7% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.62 -
$19.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.77
Resistance Level
$19.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.94
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+91.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
358.0%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.31
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→18)
$20.08
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 18.5%)
$51.93
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 18.5%)
$30.38
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 18.5%)
$25.82
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.73 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.03
Bull Case
$22.05
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$18.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$13.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$27.54
(+50.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 5:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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