ATS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATS - ATS Corporation
$19.74
0.46 (2.39%)
▲
5d:
-2.81%
30d:
-25.51%
90d:
-40.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.75
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.27
34.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATS is currently trading at $19.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.39 to $27.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 358.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ATS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+77.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ATS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+77.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.39 -
$27.52
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 77.3% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.39 -
$27.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.20
Resistance Level
$20.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.90
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+77.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
358.0%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.99
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.39
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$20.97
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.5%)
$51.09
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 18.5%)
$32.84
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 18.5%)
$27.92
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 18.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.09
Bull Case
$23.84
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$19.74
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$15.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$28.76
(+45.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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