ATS (ATS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATS - ATS Corporation
$19.20
0.17 (0.89%)
â˛
5d:
-1.89%
30d:
-5.65%
90d:
-28.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ATS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ATS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.72
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.63
35.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATS is currently trading at $19.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.28 to $21.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 358.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+82.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+82.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.28 -
$21.61
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 82.3% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.28 -
$21.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.41
Resistance Level
$19.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.55
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+82.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
358.0%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 18.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.28
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.55
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.00
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â18)
$20.52
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.5%)
$51.34
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 18.5%)
$31.95
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 18.5%)
$27.15
(+41%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.09
Bull Case
$23.18
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$19.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$14.69
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$28.15
(+46.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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