Aveanna Healthcare (AVAH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVAH - Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$14.08
0.22 (1.59%)
▲
5d:
+3.23%
30d:
+55.58%
90d:
+101.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVAH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVAH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.91
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVAH is currently trading at $14.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.34 to $14.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVAH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.97, while resistance sits at $14.54.
Market Sentiment: AVAH scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVAH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.97, while resistance sits at $14.54.
Market Sentiment: AVAH scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.34 -
$14.06
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
Protect Your Profits
AVAH is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.90)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.34 -
$14.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.97
Resistance Level
$14.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.68
Wall Street Target
$13.90
(-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 12.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.38
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$16.79
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$18.33
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.15
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$23.55
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$18.30
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 9.1%)
$14.13
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case
$11.04
(-22%)
Analyst growth -27.6%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$10.04
(-29%)
Market implied -27.6%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$9.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AVAH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AVAH price and gamma walls.
