BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBVA - Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$26.98
0.11 (0.41%)
▲
5d:
-6.55%
30d:
-7.48%
90d:
+3.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.53
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $26.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.09 to $29.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BBVA scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BBVA scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.09 -
$29.36
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($24.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.09 -
$29.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.24
Resistance Level
$29.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.87
Wall Street Target
$24.53
(-9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.06
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$27.14
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$27.22
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$56.72
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$30.22
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 3.9%)
$25.69
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$34.28
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$31.16
(+16%)
Market implied 16.0%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$18.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 1:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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