BBVA
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
Commercial Banks, NEC
Best Commercial Banks Stocks 2026 →
BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$25.92
+0.00 (+0.00%)
â˛
5d:
+3.47%
30d:
-0.12%
90d:
-10.0%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (45%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$24.74 â $26.44
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.7x
FAIR
vs 10.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$28.03
+8.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.81 / $26.76
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BBVA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.58
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $25.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.74 to $26.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.81, while resistance sits at $26.76.
Market Sentiment: BBVA scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.81, while resistance sits at $26.76.
Market Sentiment: BBVA scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$24.74 -
$26.44
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$24.74 -
$26.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$23.81
Resistance Level
$26.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.03)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.71
Wall Street Target
$28.03
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$24.44
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$23.73
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â11)
$25.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$72.52
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 11.0%)
$35.45
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 11.0%)
$30.13
(+16%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$33.41
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.1%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$30.37
(+17%)
Market implied 17.1%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$17.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$28.30
(+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BBVA)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Jun 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on BBVA are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 7:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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