BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBVA - Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$24.04
-0.57 (-2.32%)
▼
5d:
-1.44%
30d:
+7.47%
90d:
+12.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBVA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBVA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.38
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $24.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.32 to $24.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.00, while resistance sits at $25.10.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.00, while resistance sits at $25.10.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$22.32 -
$24.04
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($22.85)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.32 -
$24.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.01
Resistance Level
$25.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.28
Wall Street Target
$22.85
(-7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
33.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.27
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$24.10
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$24.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.7%)
$65.03
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 7.7%)
$30.70
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 7.7%)
$26.10
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$31.30
(+27%)
Analyst growth 14.5%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$28.46
(+16%)
Market implied 14.5%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$16.90
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$25.13
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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