BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBVA - Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$28.36
0.41 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
+6.66%
30d:
+10.78%
90d:
+28.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When BBVA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBVA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BBVA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.53
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $28.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.84 to $26.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $24.53. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $24.53. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.84 -
$26.73
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.5% above Wall St target ($24.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.84 -
$26.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.19
Resistance Level
$28.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.50
Wall Street Target
$24.53
(-13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.18
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$30.03
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$30.90
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.21
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.3%)
$68.52
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 10.3%)
$38.01
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 10.3%)
$32.31
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.17
Bull Case
$34.94
(+23%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$31.76
(+12%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$19.01
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 6:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Diversified Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Diversified by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BAC
Bank of America Corp |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$69 | 54 HOLD |
|
C
Citigroup Inc. |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$155 | 58 HOLD |
|
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co |
BUY
25 analysts |
$372 | 55 HOLD |
|
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company |
BUY
24 analysts |
$100 | 52 HOLD |
|
RY
Royal Bank of Canada |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$194 | 51 HOLD |