BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBVA - Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$25.67
0.28 (1.10%)
▲
5d:
-1.53%
30d:
+10.89%
90d:
+9.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBVA is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BBVA is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.56
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $25.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.27 to $25.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.27 -
$25.60
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($23.79)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.27 -
$25.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.65
Resistance Level
$26.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.77
Wall Street Target
$23.79
(-7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
33.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.90
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.13
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$26.37
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.71
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$65.59
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$32.43
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 8.1%)
$27.57
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$32.54
(+27%)
Analyst growth 15.2%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$29.59
(+15%)
Market implied 15.2%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$17.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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