BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBVA - Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$29.55
0.71 (2.46%)
▲
5d:
-0.3%
30d:
+3.68%
90d:
+27.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.23
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $29.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.38 to $29.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $24.53. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $24.53. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.38 -
$29.21
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.0% above Wall St target ($24.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.38 -
$29.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.59
Resistance Level
$29.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.91
Wall Street Target
$24.53
(-17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.61
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.72
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$32.86
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 3.9%)
$56.08
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$33.10
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$28.13
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.18
Bull Case
$36.12
(+22%)
Analyst growth 13.9%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$32.84
(+11%)
Market implied 13.9%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$19.61
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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