JPMorgan Chase & (JPM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$342.07
-0.01 (+0.00%)
▼
5d:
+1.21%
30d:
+2.32%
90d:
-6.33%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
62/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$331.54 – $340.95
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.4x
FAIR
vs 13.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$373.48
+9.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$333.00 / $359.80
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JPM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite extended pricing.
JPM is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; JPM has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-10.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $337.04 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$453.37
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$281.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JPM is currently trading at $342.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $331.54 to $340.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $333.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JPM scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $333.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JPM scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$331.54 -
$340.95
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$331.54 -
$340.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$333.00
Resistance Level
$359.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($373.48)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.38
Wall Street Target
$373.48
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Profit Margin
34.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$340.36
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$338.66
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$336.96
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$342.60
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$621.15
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$418.36
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$355.61
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $24.38
Bull Case
$394.70
(+15%)
Analyst growth 4.9%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$358.82
(+5%)
Market implied 4.9%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$232.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$347.79
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (JPM)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Morgan Stanley makes a strategic acquisition, Vinyl Equity, to gain more control over IPO shares and strengthen its position in the wave of giant IPOs. The firm's stock rallied 4% in response.
Key Retail Themes:
Morgan Stanley's acquisition of Vinyl Equity
IPOs and the wave of public market listings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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