Royal Bank of Canada (RY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$203.96
+1.54 (+0.76%)
â˛
5d:
-2.78%
30d:
+4.77%
90d:
-5.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$194.78 â $204.77
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.3x
FAIR
vs 10.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$211.21
+4.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$200.80 / $211.29
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$262.23
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RY is currently trading at $203.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $194.78 to $204.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $200.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $200.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$194.78 -
$204.77
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$194.78 -
$204.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$200.80
Resistance Level
$211.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($211.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.31
Wall Street Target
$211.21
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$206.06
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$209.77
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$213.55
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$202.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$460.20
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 9.0%)
$262.04
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 9.0%)
$222.73
(+10%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.44
Bull Case
$351.41
(+74%)
Analyst growth 56.5%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$319.46
(+58%)
Market implied 56.5%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$138.84
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RY)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 17, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Canadian bank $RY is leading according to Howard Lindzon on StockTwits with no bearish sentiment detected.
Key Retail Themes:
Canadian banks
Leadership of $RY
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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