RY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RY - Royal Bank of Canada
$202.52
-0.22 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
+1.73%
30d:
+7.05%
90d:
+25.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RY is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RY is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$244.88
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RY is currently trading at $202.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.83 to $198.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $198.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $198.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$186.83 -
$198.85
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($183.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$186.83 -
$198.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$186.42
Resistance Level
$198.57
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.53
Wall Street Target
$183.53
(-9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
33.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$211.46
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$220.55
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$230.03
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$201.53
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$500.70
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 9.3%)
$265.03
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$225.28
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.99
Bull Case
$354.78
(+75%)
Analyst growth 60.0%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$322.52
(+59%)
Market implied 60.0%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$137.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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