RY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RY - Royal Bank of Canada
$205.23
0.02 (0.01%)
▲
5d:
-5.23%
30d:
-1.55%
90d:
+8.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.27
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RY is currently trading at $205.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $208.08 to $214.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $204.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $204.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$208.08 -
$214.48
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($207.18)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$208.08 -
$214.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$204.08
Resistance Level
$218.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.62
Wall Street Target
$207.18
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
33.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$212.00
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$219.00
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$226.23
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$204.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$464.16
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$268.74
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$228.43
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.96
Bull Case
$363.76
(+77%)
Analyst growth 61.1%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$330.69
(+61%)
Market implied 61.1%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$139.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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