Royal Bank of Canada (RY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RY - Royal Bank of Canada
$205.90
-0.08 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
-2.91%
30d:
-3.55%
90d:
+3.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RY is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RY is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$260.06
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$161.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RY is currently trading at $205.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.12 to $212.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $201.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $201.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$205.12 -
$212.64
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($212.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$205.12 -
$212.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$201.75
Resistance Level
$212.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.52
Wall Street Target
$212.26
(+3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$211.67
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$217.59
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$223.68
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$205.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$468.10
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 9.1%)
$267.29
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$227.20
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.43
Bull Case
$354.39
(+72%)
Analyst growth 56.4%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$322.17
(+57%)
Market implied 56.4%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$140.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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