BGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGS - B&G Foods, Inc.
$3.78
-0.11 (-2.83%)
▼
5d:
-6.2%
30d:
-7.58%
90d:
-22.06%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.16
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.44
15.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGS is currently trading at $3.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.90 to $4.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.20 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.20 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.90 -
$4.15
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($5.20)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.90 -
$4.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.76
Resistance Level
$4.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.79
Wall Street Target
$5.20
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.06
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.76
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$3.90
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$17.93
(+374%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$4.77
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$4.05
(+7%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$5.35
(+41.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew D Vogel
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-13
David L Wenner
SELL
19500 shares
2026-03-13
Martin C Schoch
SELL
11321 shares
2026-03-12
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