B&G Foods (BGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGS - B&G Foods, Inc.
$3.20
-0.03 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
-4.91%
30d:
-10.75%
90d:
-20.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.71
Based on -1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGS is currently trading at $3.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.33 to $3.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BGS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.30 (+33.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BGS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.30 (+33.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.33 -
$3.57
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.5% below Wall St target ($4.30)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.33 -
$3.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.18
Resistance Level
$3.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.24
Wall Street Target
$4.30
(+33.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
-4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 7.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.01
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$2.82
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$2.64
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$3.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -6.1%)
$8.60
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: -6.1%)
$2.66
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: -6.1%)
$2.26
(-30%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$3.92
(+21.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 12:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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