B&G Foods (BGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$2.66
+0.00 (+0.00%)
▲
5d:
+11.3%
30d:
+9.02%
90d:
-25.7%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
33/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$2.18 – $2.56
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.2x
CHEAP
vs 7.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3.60
+35.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$2.03 / $2.69
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.07
Based on -3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGS is currently trading at $2.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.18 to $2.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BGS scores 3/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+35.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BGS scores 3/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+35.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.18 -
$2.56
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2.18 -
$2.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$2.03
Resistance Level
$2.69
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (3/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($3.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.24
Wall Street Target
$3.60
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
-4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 7.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.16
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$2.65
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -10.1%)
$7.35
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: -10.1%)
$1.94
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.5, Growth: -10.1%)
$1.65
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.2 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$3.61
(+35.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BGS)
Bullish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
B&G Foods reported a loss in Q3 2026 with revenue of $459.8 million and projected full-year earnings between 58 cents and 68 cents per share.
Key Retail Themes:
Q3 earnings report
Financial results
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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