BGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGS - B&G Foods, Inc.
$3.53
-0.08 (-2.22%)
▼
5d:
+0.57%
30d:
-13.27%
90d:
-36.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BGS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BGS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.02
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGS is currently trading at $3.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.63 to $4.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.80 (+36.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.80 (+36.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.63 -
$4.00
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.0% below Wall St target ($4.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.63 -
$4.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.50
Resistance Level
$3.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.23
Wall Street Target
$4.80
(+36.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 7.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.28
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$3.04
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$2.82
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$3.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 1.2%)
$12.17
(+245%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 1.2%)
$3.66
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 1.2%)
$3.11
(-12%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$4.42
(+25.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew D Vogel
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-13
David L Wenner
SELL
19500 shares
2026-03-13
Martin C Schoch
SELL
11321 shares
2026-03-12
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