B&G Foods (BGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGS - B&G Foods, Inc.
$2.12
-0.07 (-3.20%)
▼
5d:
-12.4%
30d:
-30.26%
90d:
-39.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BGS is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BGS is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.56
Based on -1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.21
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGS is currently trading at $2.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.38 to $3.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.1) compared to its historical average (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.00 (+88.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.00 (+88.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.38 -
$3.05
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 88.7% below Wall St target ($4.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.38 -
$3.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.10
Resistance Level
$2.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.11
Wall Street Target
$4.00
(+88.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
-4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 7.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.72
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.55
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→7)
$2.75
(+30%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -6.1%)
$8.47
(+300%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: -6.1%)
$1.75
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: -6.1%)
$1.49
(-30%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.1 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$3.77
(+77.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+77.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 7:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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