B&G Foods (BGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGS - B&G Foods, Inc.
$2.93
0.06 (2.09%)
▲
5d:
-2.98%
30d:
-16.05%
90d:
-28.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.66
Based on -1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGS is currently trading at $2.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.00 to $3.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.82, while resistance sits at $3.16.
Market Sentiment: BGS scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.30 (+46.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.82, while resistance sits at $3.16.
Market Sentiment: BGS scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.30 (+46.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.00 -
$3.42
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.8% below Wall St target ($4.30)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.00 -
$3.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.82
Resistance Level
$3.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.68
Wall Street Target
$4.30
(+46.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
-4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 7.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.67
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$2.44
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$2.22
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$2.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -6.1%)
$8.70
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: -6.1%)
$2.42
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: -6.1%)
$2.06
(-30%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$3.87
(+32.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 6:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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