BILL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BILL - BILL Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$49.78
-1.53 (-2.98%) ▼
5d: +3.73%
30d: +11.46%
90d: +26.06%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BILL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.31
21.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BILL is currently trading at $49.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.87 to $48.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BILL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.11, while resistance sits at $52.60.

Market Sentiment: BILL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $41.87 - $48.35
Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.57)
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.87 - $48.35
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.11
Resistance Level $52.60
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.74
Wall Street Target $54.57 (+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.7 vs 15.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $48.93 (-2%)
2-Year Target $48.10 (-3%)
3-Year Target $47.28 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→16) $49.73 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 27.9%) $142.93 (+187%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 27.9%) $104.12 (+109%)
Bear: (PE: 12.5, Growth: 27.9%) $88.50 (+78%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 15.5
Stabilization Target: $52.36 (+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.2%
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Last updated: August 16, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced BILL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BILL price and gamma walls.

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