BKD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKD - Brookdale Senior Living, Inc.
$14.60
-0.02 (-0.14%)
▼
5d:
-3.63%
30d:
-7.71%
90d:
+1.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BKD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -28.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BKD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -28.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.18
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKD is currently trading at $14.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.43 to $15.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 71.2) compared to its historical average (194.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 28.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.58 (+34.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.58 (+34.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.43 -
$15.61
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($19.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.43 -
$15.61
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.28
Resistance Level
$15.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
71.22
Wall Street Target
$19.58
(+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
-6.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-28.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
71.2 vs 194.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-28.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.83
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.64
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 71→194)
$28.99
(+99%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 71.2 to 194.0
Stabilization Target:
$39.77
(+172.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+172.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 3:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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