BKD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKD - Brookdale Senior Living, Inc.
$11.80
-0.01 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
-6.65%
30d:
-18.62%
90d:
-11.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BKD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKD is currently trading at $11.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.80 to $15.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 59.0) compared to its historical average (166.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 29.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.25 (+63.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.25 (+63.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.80 -
$15.11
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.1% below Wall St target ($19.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.80 -
$15.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.63
Resistance Level
$14.33
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
59.00
Wall Street Target
$19.25
(+63.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.9%
Profit Margin
-4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-29.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
59.0 vs 166.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-29.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.62
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.56
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 59→167)
$24.29
(+106%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 59.0, Growth: 566.7%)
$39.83
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 566.7%)
$13.55
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 566.7%)
$11.52
(-2%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 59.0 to 166.6
Stabilization Target:
$33.32
(+182.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+182.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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