Is BMY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, BMY is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: BMY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of BMY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BMY to be between $62.17 and $66.68. The current price is $60.72.

What is the analyst price target for BMY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BMY is $66.71. This implies a potential upside of 8.5% from current levels.

Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BMY - Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

$60.72

-0.74 (-1.20%) ▼

5d: -3.4%

30d: -10.26%

90d: +7.09%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 26d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 28, 2026 at $63.88 · last confirmed Sep 28, 2026

Strength: 3.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -5.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$59.89

Based on -0.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$37.19

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BMY is currently trading at $60.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.17 to $66.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 153.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BMY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BMY scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $62.17 - $66.68

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 85.7%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.71)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $62.17 - $66.68

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $60.60

Resistance Level $64.13

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.36

Wall Street Target $66.71 (+8.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 153.1%

Profit Margin 18.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 9.4 vs 9.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $61.15 (-1%)

2-Year Target $60.85 (-1%)

3-Year Target $60.54 (-2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $61.43 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: -5.5%) $112.94 (+84%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: -5.5%) $51.83 (-16%)

Bear: (PE: 8.0, Growth: -5.5%) $44.06 (-28%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 13.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.54

Bull Case $99.25 (+62%)

Analyst growth 44.6%, PE expands to 15.1

Base Case $90.23 (+47%)

Market implied 44.6%, PE stable at 13.7

Bear Case $42.43 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 9.5

Stabilization Target: $62.37 (+1.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +1.5%

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Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM

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