BRSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$12.10
0.52 (4.49%)
▲
5d:
+2.63%
30d:
+17.25%
90d:
+9.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $12.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.39 to $11.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: BRSL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.52 (+36.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: BRSL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.52 (+36.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.39 -
$11.44
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($16.52)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.39 -
$11.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.88
Resistance Level
$12.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.85
Wall Street Target
$16.53
(+36.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 12.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.38
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$14.80
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$16.37
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 39.5%)
$39.16
(+224%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 39.5%)
$32.87
(+172%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 39.5%)
$24.39
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case
$9.43
(-22%)
Analyst growth -25.9%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$8.58
(-29%)
Market implied -25.9%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$7.87
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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