BRSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$10.18
0.14 (1.34%)
▲
5d:
-2.91%
30d:
-9.64%
90d:
-20.51%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BRSL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BRSL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.49
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.24
0.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $10.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.38 to $11.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.07 (+60.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.07 (+60.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.38 -
$11.05
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.1% below Wall St target ($16.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.38 -
$11.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.90
Resistance Level
$10.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.57
Wall Street Target
$16.08
(+60.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$10.30
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$10.44
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 18.8%)
$27.74
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 18.8%)
$16.82
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 18.8%)
$14.30
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case
$22.37
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.6
Base Case
$20.34
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.1
Bear Case
$6.92
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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