BRSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$10.82
-0.13 (-1.19%)
▼
5d:
-6.48%
30d:
-2.08%
90d:
-17.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BRSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BRSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.35
19.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $10.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.88 to $11.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.71 (+54.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.71 (+54.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.88 -
$11.59
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.5% below Wall St target ($16.71)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.88 -
$11.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.68
Resistance Level
$12.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.56
Wall Street Target
$16.71
(+54.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.74
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$10.67
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$10.59
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$10.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 43.4%)
$60.10
(+455%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 43.4%)
$31.90
(+195%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 43.4%)
$27.12
(+151%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case
$23.91
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.9
Base Case
$21.74
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.2
Bear Case
$7.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$11.04
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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