BRSL
Brightstar Lottery PLC
Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
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Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.28
+0.69 (+7.19%)
▲
5d:
+1.58%
30d:
+3.21%
90d:
-12.06%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (32%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$9.47 – $10.04
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.9x
STRETCHED
vs 13.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.36
+49.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.20 / $10.35
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $10.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.47 to $10.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: BRSL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.36 (+49.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: BRSL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.36 (+49.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.47 -
$10.04
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
32.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.47 -
$10.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$9.20
Resistance Level
$10.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.4% below Wall St target ($15.36)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.87
Wall Street Target
$15.36
(+49.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 13.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.98
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$11.73
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$12.52
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.6%)
$26.73
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 27.6%)
$21.35
(+108%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 27.6%)
$17.49
(+70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$8.44
(-18%)
Analyst growth -20.0%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$7.67
(-25%)
Market implied -20.0%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$6.52
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BRSL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 18, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $BRSL, with one message highlighting Gruppo De Agostini's history of outright purchases. No recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Gruppo De Agostini's acquisition history
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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