Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$10.80
0.14 (1.31%)
▲
5d:
-4.76%
30d:
-4.51%
90d:
-9.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.17
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $10.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.91 to $11.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+53.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+53.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.91 -
$11.66
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.8% below Wall St target ($16.61)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.91 -
$11.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.52
Resistance Level
$11.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.96
Wall Street Target
$16.61
(+53.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 12.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.38
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$12.00
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$12.65
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 37.9%)
$38.16
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 37.9%)
$28.30
(+162%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 37.9%)
$24.06
(+123%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.91
Bull Case
$9.30
(-14%)
Analyst growth -20.7%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$8.46
(-22%)
Market implied -20.7%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$7.25
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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