Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$9.85
-0.04 (-0.40%)
▼
5d:
-1.1%
30d:
-11.82%
90d:
-11.42%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BRSL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BRSL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.26
12.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $9.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.08 to $11.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL scores 90/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+68.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BRSL scores 90/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+68.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.08 -
$11.32
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (90/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.7% below Wall St target ($16.61)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 27% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.08 -
$11.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.63
Resistance Level
$10.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.64
Wall Street Target
$16.61
(+68.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.03
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$10.21
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$10.39
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 37.9%)
$38.60
(+292%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 37.9%)
$25.81
(+162%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 37.9%)
$21.94
(+123%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$8.35
(-15%)
Analyst growth -23.2%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$7.60
(-23%)
Market implied -23.2%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$6.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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