Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$9.56
0.33 (3.58%)
▲
5d:
-1.44%
30d:
-6.82%
90d:
-8.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.26
15.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $9.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.60 to $10.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.10, while resistance sits at $10.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.99 (+67.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.10, while resistance sits at $10.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.99 (+67.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.60 -
$10.32
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 67.2% below Wall St target ($15.99)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.60 -
$10.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.10
Resistance Level
$10.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.35
Wall Street Target
$15.99
(+67.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.65
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$9.73
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$9.82
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.5%)
$37.01
(+287%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 37.5%)
$24.87
(+160%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 37.5%)
$21.14
(+121%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
Bull Case
$7.42
(-22%)
Analyst growth -26.9%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$6.75
(-29%)
Market implied -26.9%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$6.28
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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