Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (BUD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUD - Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV
$85.49
3.20 (3.89%)
▲
5d:
+5.18%
30d:
+10.94%
90d:
+4.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BUD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BUD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.66
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUD is currently trading at $85.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.16 to $81.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: BUD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.26 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: BUD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.26 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$75.16 -
$81.36
Company Quality Score
23/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 23/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.16 -
$81.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.79
Resistance Level
$85.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.41
Wall Street Target
$95.26
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
124.9%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.88
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$90.34
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$92.87
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$133.49
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$117.00
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$99.45
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.64
Bull Case
$95.81
(+12%)
Analyst growth 5.8%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$87.10
(+2%)
Market implied 5.8%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$55.96
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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