BUD Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV Malt Beverages

Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (BUD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$84.08
-1.97 (-2.29%) â–ŧ
5d: +0.49% 30d: +6.94% 90d: +4.8%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$78.06 – $84.49
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.2x FAIR
vs 16.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$94.53
+12.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.75 / $86.31
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: BUD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.82
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.81
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BUD is currently trading at $84.08, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.06 to $84.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $86.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BUD scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.53 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $78.06 - $84.49
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $78.06 - $84.49
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $77.75
Resistance Level $86.31
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($94.53)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.23
Wall Street Target $94.53 (+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 52.5%
Profit Margin 15.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium
PE vs Historical 17.2 vs 16.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $86.01 (+2%)
2-Year Target $87.99 (+5%)
3-Year Target $90.02 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→16) PE COMPRESSION $84.09 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.3%) $129.86 (+54%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 10.3%) $112.69 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 14.6, Growth: 10.3%) $95.79 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.92
Bull Case $93.86 (+12%)
Analyst growth -0.8%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case $85.33 (+2%)
Market implied -0.8%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case $58.51 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BUD)

Bearish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on BUD are bearish (sentiment score -0.68) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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