Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (BUD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUD - Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV
$73.43
0.41 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
-5.86%
30d:
-7.07%
90d:
-7.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BUD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BUD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.16
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUD is currently trading at $73.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.02 to $80.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 124.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUD scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.38 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUD scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.38 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$76.02 -
$80.03
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.3% below Wall St target ($96.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.02 -
$80.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.34
Resistance Level
$79.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.95
Wall Street Target
$96.38
(+31.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
124.9%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.74
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$70.09
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$68.48
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$73.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$137.77
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 11.2%)
$100.99
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 11.2%)
$85.84
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.61
Bull Case
$85.56
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.5%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$77.78
(+6%)
Market implied 6.5%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$49.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$78.57
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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