Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (BUD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUD - Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV
$78.23
0.58 (0.75%)
â˛
5d:
-2.48%
30d:
-1.21%
90d:
-4.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BUD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BUD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.42
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUD is currently trading at $78.23, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.77 to $82.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 124.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.03 (+24.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.03 (+24.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$77.77 -
$82.31
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($97.03)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.77 -
$82.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.59
Resistance Level
$81.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.73
Wall Street Target
$97.03
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
124.9%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$76.98
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$76.37
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â16)
$78.19
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.6%)
$139.52
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 11.6%)
$108.77
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 11.6%)
$92.46
(+18%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.62
Bull Case
$91.97
(+18%)
Analyst growth 7.7%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$83.61
(+7%)
Market implied 7.7%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$52.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$80.09
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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