BUD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUD - Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV
$82.99
2.16 (2.67%)
▲
5d:
+1.85%
30d:
-0.44%
90d:
+21.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BUD is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BUD is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.51
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUD is currently trading at $82.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.71 to $82.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.93 (+12.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.93 (+12.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$79.71 -
$82.83
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($92.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.71 -
$82.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.28
Resistance Level
$83.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.86
Wall Street Target
$92.93
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.57
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$86.17
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$87.81
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.9%)
$150.16
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$116.26
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 11.9%)
$98.82
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.61
Bull Case
$121.07
(+50%)
Analyst growth 36.3%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$110.06
(+36%)
Market implied 36.3%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$54.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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