BZH Beazer Homes USA, Inc. New OPERATIVE BUILDERS Best Homebuilders Stocks 2026 →

Beazer Homes USA, Inc. New (BZH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$33.48
+0.03 (+0.09%) ▲
5d: +0.15% 30d: +0.48% 90d: +2.01%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (36%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$33.37 – $33.45
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.0x STRETCHED
vs 13.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$27.50
-17.9% vs target
Options IV & Volume
100th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$33.19 / $33.49
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: BZH trades at premium valuation expecting 17.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.18
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.12
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BZH is currently trading at $33.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.37 to $33.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.0) compared to its historical average (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BZH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $27.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $33.37 - $33.45
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 100th percentile (EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 36.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $33.37 - $33.45
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.04 (9.1%)
Support Level $33.19
Resistance Level $33.49
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 19, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 100th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 17.9% above Wall St target ($27.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 17.0% growth with -5.3% revenue growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.03
Wall Street Target $27.50 (-17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -39.9%
Profit Margin -0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +17.0% premium
PE vs Historical 22.0 vs 13.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +17.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.17 (+17%)
2-Year Target $45.83 (+37%)
3-Year Target $53.62 (+60%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→14) PE COMPRESSION $33.35 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BZH)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits messages indicate a bullish sentiment towards $BZH stock with no negative news articles found.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive BZH Research Pages
BZH Technical Chart BZH Price Prediction BZH Intrinsic Value DCF BZH Earnings Date BZH Investment Advisor BZH Fair Price Analyzer BZH Options Chain BZH Options Advisor BZH Options Analysis BZH Competitors
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