Conagra Brands (CAG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.83
-0.36 (-2.37%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.88%
30d:
+8.25%
90d:
-3.64%
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Earnings: Dec 18, 2026
Protect CAG Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (37%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$13.67 â $14.99
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.4x
FAIR
vs 9.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$13.74
-7.3% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.83 / $15.54
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 19, 2026 at $14.04 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.21
Based on -1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAG is currently trading at $14.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.67 to $14.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.83, while resistance sits at $15.54.
Market Sentiment: CAG scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.83, while resistance sits at $15.54.
Market Sentiment: CAG scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$13.67 -
$14.99
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$13.67 -
$14.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$13.83
Resistance Level
$15.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($13.74)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.38
Wall Street Target
$13.74
(-7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Profit Margin
-17.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$15.25
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$15.46
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -6.8%)
$25.38
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: -6.8%)
$11.99
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: -6.8%)
$10.19
(-31%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CAG)
Bullish
5 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
4 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages express bullish sentiment towards $CAG, with some traders targeting specific price levels. The latest Yahoo Finance news article discusses five high-yield dividend stocks, including B&G Foods, which may face dividend cuts due to financial instability. $CAG's dividend yield currently stands at 14.6%.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment towards $CAG
Financial instability of B&G Foods and potential dividend cuts
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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