CBOE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBOE - Cboe Global Markets, Inc.
$297.51
-12.72 (-4.10%)
▼
5d:
+2.99%
30d:
+19.49%
90d:
-9.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CBOE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CBOE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$438.87
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$272.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBOE is currently trading at $297.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $249.15 to $289.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $272.89, while resistance sits at $311.06. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CBOE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $272.89, while resistance sits at $311.06. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CBOE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$249.15 -
$289.56
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CBOE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($312.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$249.15 -
$289.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$272.90
Resistance Level
$311.06
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.65
Wall Street Target
$312.43
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.4%
Profit Margin
25.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 22.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$303.09
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$296.12
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$289.31
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$309.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.5%)
$386.59
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.5%)
$385.16
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 7.5%)
$327.39
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.70
Bull Case
$418.75
(+35%)
Analyst growth 28.4%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$380.68
(+23%)
Market implied 28.4%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$201.63
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$331.96
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBOE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Allen Wilkinson
SELL
248 shares
2026-02-23
Alexander Matturri Jr
SELL
1500 shares
2026-02-18
Edward J Fitzpatrick
SELL
3947 shares
2026-02-18
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