Is CBOE stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CBOE is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: CBOE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CBOE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CBOE to be between $266.70 and $303.23. The current price is $271.26.

What is the analyst price target for CBOE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CBOE is $315.64. This implies a potential upside of 16.4% from current levels.

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CBOE - Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES

$271.26

-5.93 (-2.14%) ▼

5d: +5.13%

30d: -7.77%

90d: +10.68%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CBOE Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 30, 2026 26d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 1, 2026 at $277.19 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026

Strength: 3.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CBOE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$434.75

Based on 5.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$269.94

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CBOE is currently trading at $271.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $266.70 to $303.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $252.82, while resistance sits at $283.54.

Market Sentiment: CBOE scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $315.64 (+16.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $266.70 - $303.23

Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 88.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (88/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($315.64)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $266.70 - $303.23

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $252.82

Resistance Level $283.54

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.82

Wall Street Target $315.64 (+16.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 50.2%

Profit Margin 26.7%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 17.8 vs 21.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $254.98 (-6%)

2-Year Target $239.69 (-12%)

3-Year Target $225.30 (-17%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→21) $270.58 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 7.9%) $389.91 (+44%)

Base: (SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 7.9%) $340.58 (+26%)

Bear: (PE: 15.1, Growth: 7.9%) $289.50 (+7%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 21.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.83

Bull Case $361.78 (+33%)

Analyst growth 18.7%, PE expands to 23.8

Base Case $328.89 (+21%)

Market implied 18.7%, PE stable at 21.6

Bear Case $188.49 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 21.4

Stabilization Target: $325.77 (+20.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +20.1%

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Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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