CCAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCAP - Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. Common stock
$11.23
0.30 (2.74%)
▲
5d:
+2.74%
30d:
+0.99%
90d:
-19.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCAP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CCAP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.85
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCAP is currently trading at $11.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.91 to $11.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.86 (+23.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.86 (+23.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.91 -
$11.14
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($13.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.91 -
$11.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.64
Resistance Level
$11.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.47
Wall Street Target
$13.86
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 8.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.85
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.48
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$10.12
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$11.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -2.8%)
$28.60
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: -2.8%)
$10.30
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: -2.8%)
$8.75
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.39
Bull Case
$23.87
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.6
Base Case
$21.70
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case
$7.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$12.49
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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