Crescent Capital BDC (CCAP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.25
-0.13 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
+6.33%
30d:
+12.14%
90d:
-9.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
23/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$8.72 – $9.57
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.3x
FAIR
vs 7.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$11.96
+16.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.00 / $10.41
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCAP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.85
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCAP is currently trading at $10.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.72 to $9.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCAP scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.96 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCAP scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.96 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.72 -
$9.57
Company Quality Score
23/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.72 -
$9.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$9.00
Resistance Level
$10.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.96)
- WARNING: Composite score 23/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.26
Wall Street Target
$11.96
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.96
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.68
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$9.41
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$10.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.0%)
$24.00
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: -5.0%)
$8.78
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: -5.0%)
$7.46
(-27%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.15
(+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CCAP)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user compares the October 21, 2026 quoted price of $CCAP at approximately $8.45 to its reported net asset value (NAV) of $17.82 per share.
Key Retail Themes:
NAV Discount
Value Investing
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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