CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A. Malt Beverages

Compania Cervecerias Unidas (CCU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$10.65
-0.18 (-1.66%) ▼
5d: -3.01% 30d: -0.28% 90d: -8.82%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (79%)
Quality Score
63/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$10.50 – $10.96
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.7x FAIR
vs 13.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.54
-1.0% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.27 / $11.10
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.68
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.74
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $10.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.50 to $10.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.27, while resistance sits at $11.10.

Market Sentiment: CCU scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $10.50 - $10.96
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $10.50 - $10.96
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $10.27
Resistance Level $11.10
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.54)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.69
Wall Street Target $10.54 (-1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.0%
Profit Margin 3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 13.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.63 (0%)
2-Year Target $10.61 (0%)
3-Year Target $10.59 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) $10.67 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.8%) $21.58 (+103%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 11.8%) $14.87 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 11.6, Growth: 11.8%) $12.64 (+19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case $14.95 (+40%)
Analyst growth 25.5%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case $13.59 (+28%)
Market implied 25.5%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case $7.36 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 13.8
Stabilization Target: $10.74 (+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.8%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CCU)

Bearish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Dec 16, 2022
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on CCU are bearish (sentiment score -0.96) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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