CCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CCU - Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.

Malt Beverages
$11.40
-0.01 (-0.09%) ▼
5d: -3.31%
30d: -2.81%
90d: +1.33%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CCU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.19
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.40
20.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $11.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.20 to $11.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.88, while resistance sits at $12.06.

Market Sentiment: CCU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $11.20 - $11.76
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.04)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.20 - $11.76
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.88
Resistance Level $12.07
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.50
Wall Street Target $12.04 (+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -6.8%
Profit Margin 3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.5 vs 14.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.93 (-4%)
2-Year Target $10.47 (-8%)
3-Year Target $10.03 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→14) $11.39 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.0%) $35.19 (+208%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 21.0%) $20.20 (+77%)
Bear: (PE: 10.6, Growth: 21.0%) $17.17 (+51%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case $16.41 (+44%)
Analyst growth 32.3%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case $14.92 (+31%)
Market implied 32.3%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case $7.67 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 14.2
Stabilization Target: $12.96 (+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.6%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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