Compania Cervecerias Unidas (CCU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCU - Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
$11.64
-0.01 (-0.09%)
▼
5d:
-2.35%
30d:
-0.09%
90d:
+1.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CCU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CCU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.63
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.43
13.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $11.64, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.63 to $12.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCU scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCU scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.63 -
$12.22
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.63 -
$12.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.37
Resistance Level
$12.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.75
Wall Street Target
$11.38
(-2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.63
(0%)
2-Year Target
$11.62
(0%)
3-Year Target
$11.61
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$11.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.6%)
$31.49
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 22.6%)
$21.46
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 22.6%)
$18.24
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.60
Bull Case
$18.08
(+55%)
Analyst growth 41.1%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$16.44
(+41%)
Market implied 41.1%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$7.92
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$11.68
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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