CCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCU - Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
$11.24
-0.17 (-1.49%)
▼
5d:
-4.66%
30d:
-4.17%
90d:
-0.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.19
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.40
21.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $11.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.19 to $11.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.88, while resistance sits at $12.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.88, while resistance sits at $12.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.19 -
$11.76
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.04)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.19 -
$11.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.88
Resistance Level
$12.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.50
Wall Street Target
$12.04
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.93
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$10.47
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$10.03
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$11.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.0%)
$35.19
(+208%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 21.0%)
$20.20
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 21.0%)
$17.17
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$16.41
(+44%)
Analyst growth 32.3%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$14.92
(+31%)
Market implied 32.3%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$7.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$12.96
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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