CCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCU - Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
$11.03
-0.07 (-0.63%)
▼
5d:
-2.3%
30d:
+0.46%
90d:
-12.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CCU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.28
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.22
16.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $11.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.98 to $11.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.46 (+13.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.46 (+13.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.98 -
$11.46
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.46)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.98 -
$11.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.76
Resistance Level
$11.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.14
Wall Street Target
$12.46
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.51
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$10.02
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$9.55
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$11.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.9%)
$32.40
(+194%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 17.9%)
$18.06
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 17.9%)
$15.35
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case
$16.81
(+52%)
Analyst growth 37.7%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$15.28
(+39%)
Market implied 37.7%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$7.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$12.72
(+15.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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