CDRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CDRO - Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. Ordinary Shares

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
$9.50
-0.18 (-1.86%) â–ŧ
5d: -5.09%
30d: +9.2%
90d: -0.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CDRO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.00
26.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CDRO is currently trading at $9.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.93 to $9.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CDRO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.80, while resistance sits at $10.19.

Market Sentiment: CDRO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.67 (+33.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $8.93 - $9.64
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.3% below Wall St target ($12.67)
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.93 - $9.64
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.80
Resistance Level $10.19
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.46
Wall Street Target $12.67 (+33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 15.8%
Profit Margin 4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.5 vs 17.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.12 (-4%)
2-Year Target $8.76 (-8%)
3-Year Target $8.40 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→18) $9.51 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 69.8%) $42.31 (+345%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 69.8%) $32.06 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 13.1, Growth: 69.8%) $27.25 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.25
Bull Case $21.30 (+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.6
Base Case $19.36 (+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.7
Bear Case $6.58 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 17.5
Stabilization Target: $10.75 (+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.2%
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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