CMCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCM - Cheetah Mobile Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing fifty (50) Class A Ordinary Shares
$3.64
0.17 (4.90%)
▲
5d:
+4.9%
30d:
-24.32%
90d:
-48.37%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMCM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMCM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.99
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.34
16.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCM is currently trading at $3.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.66 to $4.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.3) compared to its historical average (3.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.32, while resistance sits at $4.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.38 (+157.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.32, while resistance sits at $4.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.38 (+157.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.66 -
$4.74
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 157.8% below Wall St target ($9.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.66 -
$4.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.32
Resistance Level
$4.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.26
Wall Street Target
$9.38
(+157.8%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.5%
Profit Margin
-21.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.3 vs 3.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.28
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.95
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$3.64
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.3 to 3.1
Stabilization Target:
$4.99
(+37.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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