CMCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCM - Cheetah Mobile Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing fifty (50) Class A Ordinary Shares
$2.37
0.02 (0.85%)
▲
5d:
+2.16%
30d:
-10.57%
90d:
-17.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.41
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.36
29.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCM is currently trading at $2.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.38 to $2.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.5) compared to its historical average (2.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.13, while resistance sits at $3.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+296.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.13, while resistance sits at $3.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+296.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.38 -
$2.81
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 296.3% below Wall St target ($9.39)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.38 -
$2.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.13
Resistance Level
$3.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.47
Wall Street Target
$9.39
(+296.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.5%
Profit Margin
-28.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.5 vs 2.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.13
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.92
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.73
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$2.82
(+19%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.5 to 2.4
Stabilization Target:
$3.86
(+63.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+63.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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