CMCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCM - Cheetah Mobile Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing fifty (50) Class A Ordinary Shares
$3.09
-0.26 (-7.62%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.76%
30d:
-2.22%
90d:
-18.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CMCM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMCM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMCM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.87
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.64
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCM is currently trading at $3.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.01 to $3.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.9) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.96, while resistance sits at $3.54. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMCM scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+203.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.96, while resistance sits at $3.54. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMCM scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+203.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$3.01 -
$3.34
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 203.9% below Wall St target ($9.39)
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.01 -
$3.34
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.96
Resistance Level
$3.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.92
Wall Street Target
$9.39
(+203.9%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.5%
Profit Margin
-21.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.9 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.81
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$2.56
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$2.33
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â3)
$3.15
(+2%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.9 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$4.19
(+35.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CMCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Internet Content & Information Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Internet Content & Information by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BILI
Bilibili Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$27 | 71 BUY |
|
TME
Tencent Music EntertainmâĻ |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$13 | 55 HOLD |
|
BIDU
Baidu Inc |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$147 | 59 HOLD |
|
GOOG
Alphabet Inc Class C |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$422 | 60 BUY |
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$428 | 60 HOLD |
