CMCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCM - Cheetah Mobile Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing fifty (50) Class A Ordinary Shares
$2.88
0.09 (3.29%)
▲
5d:
+1.65%
30d:
-8.22%
90d:
-45.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMCM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMCM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.09
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.78
23.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCM is currently trading at $2.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.88 to $3.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.8) compared to its historical average (2.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.68, while resistance sits at $3.05. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+225.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.68, while resistance sits at $3.05. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+225.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.88 -
$3.13
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 225.9% below Wall St target ($9.39)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.88 -
$3.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.68
Resistance Level
$3.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.79
Wall Street Target
$9.39
(+225.9%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.5%
Profit Margin
-21.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.8 vs 2.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.59
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$3.17
(+10%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.8 to 2.7
Stabilization Target:
$4.35
(+50.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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