CMCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCM - Cheetah Mobile Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing fifty (50) Class A Ordinary Shares
$2.70
0.10 (3.84%)
â˛
5d:
+0.75%
30d:
-16.67%
90d:
-14.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMCM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMCM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.64
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.50
22.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCM is currently trading at $2.70, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.70 to $3.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.7) compared to its historical average (2.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.50, while resistance sits at $3.02. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMCM scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+247.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.50, while resistance sits at $3.02. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMCM scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+247.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$2.70 -
$3.29
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 247.8% below Wall St target ($9.39)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.70 -
$3.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.50
Resistance Level
$3.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.68
Wall Street Target
$9.39
(+247.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.5%
Profit Margin
-28.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.7 vs 2.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.19
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.97
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â3)
$2.93
(+9%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.7 to 2.5
Stabilization Target:
$4.03
(+49.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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