CMCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCM - Cheetah Mobile Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing fifty (50) Class A Ordinary Shares
$4.10
-0.29 (-6.61%)
▼
5d:
-8.28%
30d:
-21.61%
90d:
-41.01%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 18, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.44
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.62
11.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCM is currently trading at $4.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.65 to $5.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.5) compared to its historical average (3.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+129.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+129.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.65 -
$5.40
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 129.1% below Wall St target ($9.39)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.65 -
$5.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.21
Resistance Level
$5.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.55
Wall Street Target
$9.39
(+129.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.5%
Profit Margin
-22.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.6 vs 3.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.76
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$3.44
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$3.15
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
$4.08
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.5 to 3.3
Stabilization Target:
$5.31
(+29.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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