TME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TME - Tencent Music Entertainment Group American Depositary Shares, each representing two Class A Ordinary Shares
$8.83
-0.05 (-0.56%)
▼
5d:
+0.68%
30d:
-4.13%
90d:
-5.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
28d
Get Alerted When TME Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TME trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TME trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.37
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.16
13.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TME is currently trading at $8.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.42 to $9.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.2) compared to its historical average (1.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TME is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TME has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.44 (+74.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TME is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TME has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.44 (+74.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.42 -
$9.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 74.9% below Wall St target ($15.44)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.42 -
$9.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.77
Resistance Level
$9.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.23
Wall Street Target
$15.44
(+74.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.8%
Profit Margin
26.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.2 vs 1.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.04
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$7.33
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$6.68
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$8.69
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$212.11
(+2302%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.2, Growth: 10.7%)
$11.97
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$10.17
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$19.47
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$17.70
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$6.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.2 to 1.6
Stabilization Target:
$11.50
(+30.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Internet Content & Information Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Internet Content & Information by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
META
Meta Platforms Inc. |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$828 | 63 BUY |
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$432 | 62 BUY |
|
GOOG
Alphabet Inc Class C |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$429 | 62 BUY |
|
BIDU
Baidu Inc |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$179 | 57 HOLD |
|
BILI
Bilibili Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$30 | 58 HOLD |
