TME
Tencent Music Entertainment Group American Depositary Shares, each representing two Class A Ordinary Shares
Radio Broadcasting Stations
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TME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.18
-0.15 (-1.61%)
▼
5d:
-3.16%
30d:
+8.0%
90d:
+6.0%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$8.17 – $9.12
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
1.4x
FAIR
vs 1.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.67
+35.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.19 / $9.72
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TME shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.51
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TME is currently trading at $9.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.17 to $9.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.4) is in line with its historical norms (1.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TME is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.19, while resistance sits at $9.72.
Market Sentiment: TME scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.67 (+35.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TME is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.19, while resistance sits at $9.72.
Market Sentiment: TME scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.67 (+35.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.17 -
$9.12
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.17 -
$9.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$8.19
Resistance Level
$9.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($12.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.38
Wall Street Target
$12.67
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Profit Margin
26.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.4 vs 1.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.11
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$8.89
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$8.67
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$9.41
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$168.48
(+1706%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.4, Growth: 7.9%)
$11.73
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.2, Growth: 7.9%)
$9.97
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$20.64
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$18.76
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$6.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.4 to 1.5
Stabilization Target:
$10.13
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TME)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
May 17, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on TME are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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